Liu-type shrinkage estimators for mixture of logistic regressions: an osteoporosis study
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The logistic regression model is one of the most powerful statistical methods for the analysis of binary data. Logistic regression allows using a set of covariates to explain the binary responses. A mixture of logistic regression models is used to fit heterogeneous populations using an unsupervised learning approach. The multicollinearity problem is one of the most common problems in logistic and a mixture of logistic regressions, where the covariates are highly correlated. This problem results in unreliable maximum likelihood estimates for the regression coefficients. This research develops shrinkage methods to deal with the multicollinearity in a mixture of logistic regression models. These shrinkage methods include ridge and Liu-type estimators. Through extensive numerical studies, we show that the developed methods provide more reliable results in estimating the coefficients of the mixture. Finally, we applied shrinkage methods to analyze the status of bone disorders in women aged 50 and older.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it