Urban Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Graph Structure Learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The transportation system is a complex dynamic giant system which integrates and intertwines the elements of people, vehicles, roads, and the environment. The city‐level traffic flow forecasting can effectively reflect the flow changes of the traffic system and provide practical guidance for the formulation of traffic rules. Recent city‐level traffic flow forecasting works rely on accurate prior knowledge of graphs (i.e., the spatial relationships between roads), which hinders their effectiveness and application in the real world. We propose a novel framework for urban traffic flow forecasting, which simultaneously infers and utilizes the relationship between time series. In our model, the graph structure learning module dynamically captures the correlation and causation between the different time series and infers a potentially fully connected graph. At the same time, the temporal convolution network captures the temporal correlation between a single time series. The graph neural network uses the graph for forecasting. Our model no longer relies on accurate graph priors and achieves better forecasting results than previous work. Experiments on two public datasets verify that the proposed model is very competitive.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".