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A hybrid framework for real-time satellite fault diagnosis using Markov jump-adjusted models and 1D sliding window Residual Networks

2025· article· en· W4406011890 on OpenAlexafffund
MohammadSaleh Hedayati, Afshin Rahimi

Bibliographic record

VenueActa Astronautica · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicFault Detection and Control Systems
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Windsor
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaAlliance de recherche numérique du CanadaUniversity of Windsor
KeywordsSliding window protocolResidualJumpSatelliteMarkov chainFault (geology)Window (computing)Computer scienceMarkov modelReal-time computingControl theory (sociology)AlgorithmArtificial intelligenceEngineeringGeologyMachine learningAerospace engineeringPhysics

Abstract

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Data-driven methods, including Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) techniques, have been becoming more prominent in the field of satellite Fault Diagnosis and Prognosis (FDP) owing to their exceptional pattern recognition capabilities. On the other hand, they have some glaring accompanying issues other than their data dependency that have not been explored in the literature on satellite fault diagnosis. These issues include their inability to accommodate real-time fault diagnosis requirements, failure to account for the fault diagnosis and fault-tolerant modules’ interactions, and being prone to getting overfit due to manually injected faults. Therefore, this work proposes a hybrid framework for real-time fault diagnosis of a single Reaction Wheel (RW) onboard a satellite that capitalizes on both data-driven and model-based methods’ strong suits. The proposed methodology can also be applied to other satellite sub-systems. The presented hybrid framework comprises a Morkov jump-adjusted RW model, a Markov Jump-Adjusted Particle Filter (MJAPF), and a One Dimensional (1D) sliding window Residual Network (ResNet). The Morkov jump-adjusted RW model addresses the under-represented issues of data-driven methods, the MJAPF provides a means of estimating the non-linear RW’s hidden states under non-Gaussian noise conditions while accounting for malfunction dynamics, and the 1D sliding window ResNet model ensures online diagnosis performance. Experiments showed that the hybrid framework can achieve accurate and timely results, even reaching accuracy rates as high as 99% in low-noise conditions. The proposed MJAPF algorithm proved to be a capable estimation technique. However, the proposed MJAPF and ResNet frameworks were incompatible due to the gap in their perceptions of fault dynamics but proved effective on their own merits. Future remarks for making the proposed hybrid framework more robust to noise are also discussed. • Highlighted limitations of AI and ML in satellite fault diagnosis: inability to meet real-time requirements, failure to account for interactions between fault diagnosis and fault-tolerant modules, and susceptibility to overfitting from manually injected faults. • Developed a hybrid approach combining data-driven and model-based methods for real-time fault diagnosis of Reaction Wheels (RWs) on satellites. • Emphasized the adaptability of the framework for other satellite sub-systems. • Created a Markov Jump-Adjusted RW Model to address under-represented issues in data-driven methods. • Developed a Markov Jump-Adjusted Particle Filter (MJAPF) to estimate non-linear RW hidden states under non-Gaussian noise conditions and account for malfunction dynamics. • Designed a One Dimensional (1D) Sliding Window Residual Network (ResNet) to ensure online diagnosis performance. • Demonstrated the hybrid framework’s ability to achieve high accuracy (up to 99%) in low-noise conditions through experimental validation. • Showed that the MJAPF algorithm is a capable estimation technique. • Identified incompatibility between MJAPF and ResNet due to differing perceptions of fault dynamics but validated their individual effectiveness. • Discussed recommendations for enhancing the hybrid framework’s robustness to noise.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.449
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.247
Teacher spread0.232 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations4
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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