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Women’s treatment preferences for moderate-to-severe vasomotor symptoms associated with menopause: insights from the WARMER study, a discrete choice experiment

2025· preprint· en· W4406072440 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sebastian Heidenreich, Tommaso Simoncini, Katelyn Cutts, Nicolas Krucien, Janet Kim, Lora Todorova, Janet Walker, Clarissa Kristjansson, Tim Hillard

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldNeuroscience
TopicOlfactory and Sensory Function Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVasomotorMenopausePsychologyMedicineGerontologyClinical psychologyInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Objective: Elicit preferences for treatment of vasomotor symptoms (VMS) associated with menopause. Design: Discrete choice experiment. Setting: Australia, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Population: Women aged 40–65 years, postmenopausal, self-reporting ≥14 moderate-to-severe VMS episodes/week. Methods: Targeted review of published literature, steering committee feedback, iterative qualitative interviews and available clinical data identified potentially relevant attributes of VMS treatments. Main Outcome Measures: Women made a series of choices between two hypothetical treatments and an opt out differing in moderate-to-severe VMS frequency, other menopause symptom improvement, time to symptom improvement, 5-year risks of breast cancer, blood clots and osteoporosis. Data analysed using a mixed-methods approach. Relative attribute importance (RAI) captured the maximum contribution of each attribute to treatment choice depending on expected duration of hormone therapy (HT). Results: The most influential attribute was 5-year blood clot risk (RAI 26.4–28.4%). Improving other menopause symptoms had a 1.4 times greater effect on preferences than reducing VMS frequency. Based on 5–9 years’ HT use (RR 1.97), breast cancer risk was the fourth most important attribute. Improvements in other menopause symptoms, VMS frequency reduction, onset time and of osteoporosis risk reduction were 1.0–1.4 times more important than remaining attributes. Women were willing to accept an extra 0.5% blood clot risk of or an extra 0.25% breast cancer risk for every 10% reduction in VMS frequency. Conclusions: Women valued safe efficacious VMS treatment, with high importance on avoiding long-term risks. Reducing VMS frequency mattered over and above wider menopause symptoms.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.029
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.032
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.029
Threshold uncertainty score0.153

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0290.032
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.122
GPT teacher head0.305
Teacher spread0.182 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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