Predicting cognitive function from multimodal mesoscale neuroimaging data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Our objective was to assess individual and joint relationships between various mesoscale indicators of brain health (e.g., neuronal, metabolic, and vascular integrity) and cognitive function. Method We used 7224 timepoint measures originating from 1825 participants of the ADNI study who were cognitively healthy or with mild cognitive impairment at initial assessment. Cognitive function outcomes were test results on the Alzheimer’s Disease Assessment Scale–Cognitive Subscale (ADAS‐Cog), the Rey auditory Verbal Learning Test immediate recall (RAVLTi), the Rey auditory Verbal Learning Test delayed recall (RAVLTd), the Trail Making Test A (Trail a), and the Trail Making Test B (Trail b) tasks. Four families of markers were used. First were three families of mesoscale neuroimaging assessed by MRI for 88 brain regions: 1. Neuronal integrity was estimated by FreeSurfer 6.0 produced volumes extracted from T1‐weighted (T1w) images; 2. Neurite integrity was estimated through T1w/T2‐weighted MRI ratios; 3. Cerebral metabolism integrity was measured by synthetic fluorodeoxyglucose‐positron emission tomography, generated by a model based on a latent‐space regularized generative adversarial net from T1w MRIs. Secondly, 4. Systemic markers of vascular health‐related factors were included in the model (history of cardiovascular diseases, alcohol abuse, smoking history, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, history of hypertension, type 2 diabetes, Hachinski score). Cross‐sectional and future cognitive outcomes were all predicted in a single machine learning model using all combinations of predictor families at baseline, time interval between outcomes and baseline as long as sex and education. Three types of regression models were tested (Ridge, Partial Least Squares and Support Vector). Result Individually, neuronal and metabolism integrity were the best predictors of cognitive function (Figure 1; R2: .15‐.35 and MAE in Z score: .08‐.23). The combination of two or more mesoscale brain health markers improved predictions, with the best combination being neuronal integrity with metabolism (Figures 2‐3; mean R2: .28; mean MAE: .12). However, increasing the number of markers led to similar results. Conclusion While the prediction of cognition improved with a combination of brain health mesoscale markers, a plateau seems to be reached after combining two families.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".