Automatic variogram inference using pre-trained Convolutional Neural Networks
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A novel approach is presented for inferring covariance functions from sparse data using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Two workflows are proposed: (1) direct prediction of variogram model parameters, and (2) prediction of experimental variogram values at specified lag distances, which are smooth and easily autofit. Workflow 1 achieves an r-squared of 0.80, while Workflow 2 attains a higher r-squared of 0.96. Data augmentation through rotation improves robustness, and can be used to examine variogram uncertainty; the distribution for each predicted parameter can be obtained and used in uncertainty modeling. The CNNs are pre-trained, ensuring minimal computational time and fully automated processing. The workflows are applicable to sparse or dense data but are currently limited to 2D normal score variograms. • Two novel methodologies for the automatic inference of variograms using pre-trained convolutional neural networks. • (1) The first aims to directly predict the variogram model parameters (e.g. range). • (2) The second aims to predict the experimental variogram values at specified lag distances which outperforms the first workflow. • Both workflows are fully automatic alternatives to variogram modeling and variogram calculations. • User modeling time is reduced. • Minimize user interaction and reduce the number of parameters for traditional geostatistical inference. • Negligible runtime because the CNN is pre-trained.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it