Early Postpartum Metabolic Heterogeneity Among Women Who Progressed to Type 2 Diabetes After Gestational Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
AIMS: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) poses a significant risk for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and exhibits heterogeneity. However, understanding the link between different types of post-GDM individuals without diabetes and their progression to T2D is crucial to advance personalised medicine approaches. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We employed a discovery-based unsupervised machine learning clustering method to generate clustering models for analysing metabolomics, clinical, and biochemical datasets. For this analysis, we selected 225 women who later developed T2D during the 12-year follow-up period from the cohort of 1010 women who returned to a non-diabetic state at 6-9 weeks (study baseline) after a GDM pregnancy based on 2-h 75 g research OGTTs. The optimal model was selected by assessing Bayesian Information Criterion values, class separation performance, and the potential for clinically distinguishable clusters, accounting for participant prenatal and early postpartum characteristics. RESULTS: The selected model comprises three clusters: pancreatic beta cell dysfunction (cluster-β: median HOMA-B 161.3 and median HOMA-IR 3.8), insulin-resistance (cluster-IR: median HOMA-B 630.5 and median HOMA-IR 16.8), and a mixed cluster (cluster-mixed: median HOMA-B 307.2 and median HOMA-IR 8.6). These clusters are distinguishable based on postpartum blood test parameters such as glucose tolerance, HOMA indices, and fasting lipid profiles including triglycerides, leptin, HDL-c, and adiponectin, as well as participant age and BMI. Metabolomic analysis identified unique molecular signatures for each cluster. However, the time to T2D onset was not statistically significant among the three clusters (p = 0.22). CONCLUSION: This study enhances our understanding of the heterogeneity of early postpartum metabolic profiles that characterise the future onset of T2D diabetes in a diverse cohort of women with GDM, revealing insights into distinct mechanisms and personalised intervention strategies for the prevention of T2D.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".