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Record W4406603726 · doi:10.1103/1c4s-hw47

Detecting dark matter subhalos in the Galactic plane with the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory

2025· preprint· en· W4406603726 on OpenAlexafffund
Christopher Eckner, Veronika Vodeb, Tejas Satheesh, Francesca Calore, Moritz Hütten, Pierrick Martin, G. Zaharijaš

Bibliographic record

VenuePhysical review. D/Physical review. D. · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicDark Matter and Cosmic Phenomena
Canadian institutionsYork UniversityPerimeter Institute
FundersHORIZON EUROPE Framework ProgrammeHorizon 2020 Framework ProgrammeMinistry of Colleges and UniversitiesInnovation, Science and Economic Development CanadaInstitut Périmètre de physique théoriqueEuropean CommissionGovernment of CanadaAgence Nationale de la Recherche
KeywordsPhysicsAstrophysicsDark matterGalactic planeHaloMilky WayAstronomyGalaxyGalactic haloPopulationObservatoryDark matter haloCherenkov radiation

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Numerous observations confirm the existence of dark matter (DM) at astrophysical and cosmological scales, yet the fundamental nature of this elusive component of our Universe remains unknown. Theory and simulations of Galaxy formation predict that DM should cluster on small scales in bound structures called subhalos or DM clumps. While the most massive DM subhalos host baryonic matter and are observed as dwarf galaxies of the Milky Way (MW), less massive, unpopulated subhalos could be abundant in the Galaxy as well and yield high-energy gamma rays as final products of DM annihilation. Recently, it has been highlighted that the brightest halos should also have a sizeable extension in the sky. In this study, we examine the prospects offered by the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO), a next-generation gamma-ray instrument, for detecting and characterizing such objects. Previous studies have primarily focused on high-latitude observations; here, we assess the potential impact of the CTAO’s Galactic Plane Survey, which will provide unprecedentedly deep survey data for the inner five degrees of the Galactic plane. Our modeling accounts for tidal effects on the subhalo population, examining the conditions under which DM subhalos can be detected and distinguished from conventional astrophysical sources. We find that regions a few degrees above or below the Galactic plane offer the highest likelihood for DM subhalo detection. For an individual subhalo—the brightest from among various realizations of the MW subhalo population—we find that detection at the 5 σ level is achievable for an annihilation cross section of ⟨ σ v ⟩ ∼ 3 × 10 − 25 cm 3 / s for TeV-scale DM annihilating into b b ¯ . For a full population study, depending on the distribution and luminosity model of Galactic subhalos, still unconstrained cross sections in the range ⟨ σ v ⟩ ∼ 10 − 23 – 10 − 22 cm 3 / s for TeV DM candidates are necessary for the brightest subhalos to be detected.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.011

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.356
Teacher spread0.338 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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