Corrigendum: Covid 19 and beyond: a procedure for HVAC systems to address infectious aerosol illness transmission
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The importance of aerosol virion inhalation as a COVID-19 infection route, and not primarily fomites from coughs or sneezes, was not initially recognized during the COVID-19 pandemic. Neither was it for decades in the case of tuberculosis bacterial infections. TB for some time was thought to be transmitted through droplets and fomites because it occurred most often after close contact. We now know that TB can be transmitted only via the air from speaking, coughing or singing, and not by fomites, kissing or sharing a drink or a toothbrush (Centers For Disease Control and Prevention, 2021a). Similarly, that perception also changed for the COVID-19 pandemic. Led by Morawska and many others, it is now recognized that airborne transmission is a primary COVID-19 infection route and that building engineering measures such as outdoor air ventilation and infectious aerosol recirculation air filtration are warranted (Morawska and Milton, 2020;Morawska, 2020). Leung pointed out the efficacy of mask wearing aerosol filtration, and this became an important CDC measure in addressing the pandemic (Leung, 2020) (Centers For Disease Control and Prevention, 2021b).It is thought that the importance of airborne respiratory aerosol disease transmission does not end with COVID-19 and TB. A review by Fennelly, for example, found that humans produce pathogens predominately as aerosols or small respirable particles (<5 microns) with PCR studies identifying infectious aerosols in the air of rooms with persons ill with COVID-19, the common cold, influenza A and B, TB, measles, herpes, and chicken pox (Fennelly, 2020). Others have found that humidity and temperature play important roles affecting virion survival, droplet aerosolization and lung mucociliary clearance (Marr et al., 2019) (Lowen, 2007) (Wolkoff, 2018) (Kudo et al., 2019).Virion aerosol shedding can be substantial. For example, in influenza-infected subject virion shedding testing, Yan et al measured the geometric mean RNA copy numbers from breath as 76,000 copies/hour fine (particles <5 micron) aerosol and 24,000 copies/hr coarse aerosol and found that sneezing was rare, and that sneezing and coughing were not necessary for influenza infectious aerosol shedding (Yan, 2018).A mathematical study by Chen et al found that, in exposure to exhaled droplets during close contact (<2 m) via both short-range airborne and large droplet sub-routes, the large droplet route only dominates when the droplets are larger than 100 μm and when the subjects are within 0.2 m while talking or 0.5 m while coughing. The smaller the exhaled droplets, the more important the airborne route. The large droplet route contributes less than 10% of exposure when the droplets are smaller than 50 μm and when the subjects are more than 0.3 m apart, even while coughing (Chen et al., 2020).There have been infectious doses identified for influenza caused by a similar sized virion to but not yet for COVID-19. For example, Nikitin et al identified TCID50 (tissue culture 50% infectious dose) for Influenza ranging between 300 virus copies, to 3,000 virus copies with an HID50/TCID50 ratio of 3-5 giving an HID50 range from 900 to 15000 HID50 (Nikitin, 2014).CFD studies and experiments investigating the spread of aerosols, for example, Bennett et al. (2013), Horstman and Rahai (2021) and Silcott (2020) (see Figure 1) have shown that ventilation created air currents can spread aerosols quite far in terms of numbers of persons who might be infected by these aerosols in aircraft cabins if they are susceptible. Nevertheless, while aerosols will disperse much further than droplets, Morgenstern pointed out that the concentration of infectious aerosol particles generally falls with distance, even when those infectious particles are carried by aerosols (Morgenstern, 2021).COVID-19 brought to light another issue-adequate residential ventilation for homes with teleworkers. This also requires follow up by researchers, ventilation standards committees and policymakers. For example, one study found that due primarily to concern over domestic energy savings, the lack of suitable ventilation and the more intensive use of cleaning products and disinfectants during the COVID-19 crisis, indoor pollutant levels were typically higher then than compatible with healthy environments (Domínguez-Amarillo et al., 2020). Another study found that the COVID-19 situation requiring people to spend more time at home and indoors to comply with social isolation and mandatory telework identified a linkage between residential IAQ and the symptoms and diseases observed in at-home teleworkers who participated in the study (Ferreira and Barros, 2022).So how can HVAC systems help with infectious aerosol exposures? By lowering the concentration of respiratory aerosols as needed in public spaces, workers may not need not be confined to their homes during future pandemics and if they do only home outdoor air ventilation and recirculation air filtration efficiency and not use of surface disinfectants, etc., may need to be increased. Building, residential and transportation HVAC systems circulate thermally conditioned indoor air plus some outdoor air through filters many of which in common use are sufficiently efficient to remove a significant portion of any occupant generated infectious aerosols from the air passing through them at normal air flows. For example, MERV 12 filters are estimated to remove 20% of the infectious aerosols in from the air passing through them, MERV 13 50%, MERV 14 60% and HEPA 100% (Maroto, 2011) (Owen and Kerr, 2020). All HVAC systems are required by current building codes to inject outdoor make up air into the space in amounts sufficient to dilute indoor sourced air contaminants to acceptable odor, sensory irritation and health levels (Ansi/Ashrae, 2018; Ansi/Ashrae 2022a; Ansi/Ashrae, 2022b). So a combination of outdoor (make up) air plus some percent of the filtered recirculated air will be free of infectious aerosols for most commonly used filters including some used for residential HVAC systems.So how much can HVAC systems help? It all depends upon the amount of virion-free air that can be supplied on average to each of the occupants in the space. The more the better.There is a general misconception about the role of spatial air change rates when it comes to respiratory aerosol mitigation. Air change comparisons between volumes of different occupant density can be misleading. Simply reducing the volume provided the occupants by lowering the ceiling or closing in the walls will not reduce the risk of airborne disease transmission. On the contrary, the risk increases for two main reasons -proximity and faster concentration build-up. As the volume is decreased, the occupants sit closer together and germ transmission through the air is more likely. Although the air could be replaced more frequently, the rate that germs are generated does not change, resulting in a more rapid concentration buildup That is why some environments like transportation (trains, airplanes and buses) classroom and entertainment venues can be more infectious than the ACH would indicate. There are additional concerns with high air change rates. Fresh human breath aerosols enter the spatial air and are dispersed some 10 to 20 times more frequently than the spatial air is changed in even the highest air exchange settings. So as a result there are always fresh human breath aerosols in the air. In aircraft and other typical transportation systems, for example, infectious aerosols will be some 15 times fresher on average than in offices, for example,. That is, the average age of air in aircraft will be 15 times younger than in offices and the younger the age of air the potentially higher the virulency of the airborne virion all other factors being equal (Walkinshaw, 2020).Part of the misinterpretation problem by lay persons in this field is that the term 'air change' is itself misleading it might to a that the air and is replaced with virion-free air in the time of an air that of is not the case in any public space of which are The air in the space is of human generated breath and coughing aerosols even in with the highest air change rates. inhalation is a of aerosol concentration times the of and aerosol concentration is a of the ventilation rate of virion-free air can that air change rate with breath aerosol concentration in the transportation and building venues in (Walkinshaw, 2020) of this then is to that while the of more outdoor air than the required by standards will reduce aerosol and a large building by and and found that many outdoor air this is not necessary to reduce infectious aerosol transmission. Simply common filters in HVAC recirculation systems for some such as the recirculation rate through them, the average of persons who will be infected by a ill with that disease can be average occupant aerosol concentration in the air after their the space for occupant such as or is by as (Walkinshaw, average virion aerosol spatial concentration spatial at time by some or all occupants of ill occupants shedding respiratory virion or shedding rate of occupants in the time after the including the enter the occupant volume virion-free ventilation rate outdoor air filtered recirculation air ventilation air in can be equal to or less than in a also for by the average are on a volume and average aerosol concentration over the on the virion free ventilation rate for the That rate in is on the average ventilation for the The concentration field over the need not be the In many the range could be large as time is required for the particles to after a to more of an of occupants to infectious aerosols, including the after concentration is as pointed out by is the time of (Walkinshaw, can be ACH the for the of ACH spatial virion-free air respiratory inhalation rate is a by the for as as occupant aerosol if the occupants are spread out in the space. they are in the terms of the the is large the of infectious aerosol at time the is of time the is of occupants spatial virion-free ventilation rate the of respiratory on shedding of the inhalation and ventilation rates. It infectious particles are the air of confined spaces, together with a The was by and in an study on a in combination with the of a or a of virion required to percent of an of by their as by and for a et al., between the virus and shedding rates is as 50 50 50 50 50 infectious ratio 50 50 culture infectious 50 virus copies for 50% human infectious 50 50% 50 for 50% infection can be to for the time A occupant generated aerosol inhalation by between the aircraft and (Walkinshaw, 2020). The is further high air change such as aircraft cabins and with high air change rates on occupant volumes the time to concentration is 10 or less (Walkinshaw, 2020). So for exposure times of and for the were at the was with virion free air at air with a volume of and giving a ventilation rate occupant for and the percent to be each of the different over most of was as in Figure for one are shown in average is with a of which is within two the a and one COVID-19 infectious 50 each to an in et al., 2020). The HVAC was on recirculation from in the air was 50 The was like an the there were resulting from the one an inhalation rate of 0.3 an of air change 50 with a volume of and the is COVID-19 shedding rate is with influenza breath by Yan et al (Yan, 2018) and the measured by Nikitin et al. (Nikitin, to et HID50/TCID50 (Nikitin, there is a range of TCID50 from shedding HID50 TCID50 TCID50 measured influenza TCID50 between 300 and 3,000 virus copies and with virion measured in airplanes and other et al., 2018) as by Horstman and Rahai for two case case and shedding rates that might be infection risk of common respiratory and influenza on to and Milton, infection for influenza and respiratory et al., indoor infection in an et al., that if on the the shedding rate would have been the of a ventilation the is for the of the disease spread when only a is and the occupants all are susceptible. studies that a of for a disease would be a for the average infectious of the current air in some of (Ansi/Ashrae, 2018; Ansi/Ashrae, 2022a; Ansi/Ashrae, 2022b). for for a of or 20 in different building people spend time together plus an additional or (Ansi/Ashrae, of outdoor air ventilation on space In with high occupant the ventilation a smaller of the air and in general these will be more to airborne disease and more to from additional filtered recirculation ventilation of the occupant density environments could have a much with the current levels of ventilation and filtration but the virion efficiency be of these environments like offices could have a significant but not a amount to COVID-19, et al estimated the to be in et al., 2020). of the occupant density environments could have a much with their current rates of HVAC air and recirculation air filtration but the virion efficiency be of these environments like offices could have a significant but not a amount to or a infectious aerosol into a ventilation could be for a respiratory disease aerosol shedding and For the will use as the the average of Nikitin the 50 for of influenza was about virus copies and a 50% human infectious HID50/TCID50 ratio from to and an average of HID50 virus Leung et al., the average influenza shedding was about 50 will some to the in the or HVAC for the amount of ventilation air required to be supplied to each occupant might be one of the as required by a on the It requires of the time and during that time in each indoor in to the amount of virion-free ventilation air required in that the for each on the This requires of the typical of and occupants in each and the time there by the occupants in to the amount of virion-free ventilation air required in that the for each on the disease in that this the is on a This also requires of the typical of and occupants in each and the time there by the occupants in to the amount of virion-free ventilation air required in that outdoor air ventilation and exposure times for might be as in The is the in the The is the exposure to infectious aerosols the the of the the of occupants in the each and the the average in the ventilation for all is by plus the of and then by a to the for example, 15 the in additional filtered to the additional virion-free the required filtered recirculation is found from the efficiency efficiency is by the efficiency over the and and The in Figure a normal to the of influenza virus particles measured in and health et al., would additional recirculation with MERV 15 filters (Maroto, 2011) to reduce the by to to airborne infections. 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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it