P0421 Clinical validity of a seroproteomic index of endoscopic activity in pediatric Crohn’s disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background A seroproteomic index (i.e. the serum index) corresponds to 13 protein markers, including CRP, combined as a multianalyte assay with a score range 0-100 where higher score is associated with higher probability of endoscopic activity in adult CD. We aimed to evaluate its performances in pediatric CD. Methods Children with CD were enrolled from two separate cohorts. Cohort 1 enrolled CD from multiple centers in the United States (n=118) and cohort 2, was multinational (n=160). A simple endoscopic score for CD (SESCD) was collected (<3 points indicate endoscopic healing) with a blood specimen. Clinical disease status was measured using the Harvey Bradshaw index (HBI, cohort 1) or pediatric CD activity index (PCDAI, cohort 2) (PCDAI<10 or HBI<5 indicate clinical remission). Fecal calprotectin (FC) was collected in 180 patients from both cohorts. Serum specimens were processed in Prometheus Laboratories, San Diego, CA. Statistical analysis consisted of linear regression analysis, calculation of receiver operating characteristics curves (ROC) with area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, Odds ratio (OR). Results In the 278 enrolled children (median age 14 years [IQR: 12-16 years], 46% females), median SESCD was 5 points (IQR: 0-12 points, 63% with endoscopic active disease); median CRP was 2.5 mg/L (IQR: 0.3-8.4 mg/L), median FC was 592 µg/g (IQR: 135-1147 µg/g) and median serum index was 33 (IQR: 17-60 points). AUROC analysis yielded significantly better area under ROC curve (AUROC, 0.87±0.03) for FC than the serum index (0.78±0.04) and CRP (0.77±0.04) (p<0.05) in distinguishing endoscopic active disease from endoscopic healing. There was a 9-fold higher likelihood of endoscopic active disease with serum index above 32 points (OR= 8.95 [95%CI: 5.02,15.96] p<0.001) with 70% sensitivity and 79% specificity (PPV=85%; NPV=61% at 63% pretest) (Table). In multivariate analysis EHI above 32 points (aOR= 3.00 [95%CI: 1.25, 4.76] p=0.043), active clinical disease (aOR= 2.01 [95%CI: 0.85, 4.76] p=0.114), FC>250 µg/g (aOR= 5.61 [95%CI: 2.4,13.09] p<0.01) and CRP above 3 mg/L (aOR=2.09 [95%CI: 0.9-4.85])(p=0.08) associated with active endoscopic disease) (Figure). In the subset with clinical remission (n=158), or CRP below 3 mg/L (n=136), or FC levels below 250 µg/g (n=116), EHI above 32 points was still associated with higher likelihood of endoscopic disease (OR=5.4 [95%CI: 2.6,11.1], OR= 6.8 [95%CI: 2.9,15.8], and OR=4.0 [95%CI: 1.3,12.8], respectively) (p<0.05) (Figure). Conclusion These data support the association of the serum index with endoscopic outcome in pediatric CD patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".