Customizing Computerized Adaptive Test Stopping Rules for Clinical Settings Using the Negative Affect Subdomain of the NIH Toolbox Emotion Battery: Simulation Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are crucial for informed medical decisions and evaluating treatments. However, they can be burdensome for patients and sometimes lack the reliability clinicians need for clear clinical interpretations. OBJECTIVE: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are crucial for informed medical decisions and evaluating treatments. However, they can be burdensome for patients and sometimes lack the reliability clinicians need for clear clinical interpretations. METHODS: CAT simulations were conducted on three NIH Toolbox for Assessment of Neurological and Behavioral Function® (NIH Toolbox®) Emotion Battery adult item banks in the Negative Affect subdomain (i.e., Anger Affect, Fear Affect, and Sadness) containing at least eight items. In the originally applied NIH Toolbox CAT stopping rules, the CAT was stopped if the score standard error (SE) reached < 0.3 before 12 items were administered. We first contrasted this with a SE-change rule in a planned simulation analysis. We then contrasted the original rules with fixed-length CATs (4-12 items), a reduction of the maximum number of items to eight, and other modifications in post-hoc analyses. Burden was measured by the number of items administered per simulation, precision by the percentage of assessments yielding reliabilities cutoffs (0.85, 0.90, and 0.95), and accurate score recovery by root mean squared error (RMSE) between the generating theta and the CAT-estimated EAP-based theta. RESULTS: In general, relative to the original rules, the alternative stopping rules slightly decreased burden while also increasing the proportion of assessments achieving high reliability for the adult banks; however, the SE-change rule and fixed-length CATs with eight or fewer items also notably increased assessments yielding reliability < 0.85. Among the alternative rules explored, the reduced maximum stopping rule best balanced precision and parsimony, presenting another option beyond the original rules. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate the challenges in attempting to reduce test burden while also achieving score precision for clinical use. Stopping rules should be modified in accordance with the context of the study population and the purpose of the study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.017 | 0.108 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".