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Record W4406787504 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2501.13575

Transit-timing variations in the AU Mic system observed with CHEOPS

2025· preprint· en· W4406787504 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Ádám Boldog, Gy. M. Szabó, L. Kriskovics, L. Borsato, D. Gandolfi, M. Lendl, M. N. Günther, A. Heitzmann, T. G. Wilson, A. Brandeker, Z. Garai, Y. Alibert, R. Alonso, T. Bárczy, D. Barrado, S. C. C. Barros, W. Baumjohann, W. Benz, N. Billot, C. Broeg, A. Collier Cameron, A. C. M. Correia, Sz. Csizmadia, P. E. Cubillos, M. B. Davies, M. Deleuil, A. Deline, O. D. S. Demangeon, B. -O. Demory, A. Derekas, B. Edwards, J. A. Egger, D. Ehrenreich, A. Erikson, A. Fortier, L. Fossati, M. Fridlund, K. Gazeas, M. Gillon, M. Güdel, P. Guterman, Ch. Helling, K. G. Isaak, L. L. Kiss, E. Kopp, J. Korth, K. W. F. Lam, J. Laskar, A. Lecavelier des Etangs, A. Luntzer, Demetrio Magrin, G. Mantovan, L. Marafatto, P. F. L. Maxted, B. Merín, C. Mordasini, Matteo Munari, V. Nascimbeni, G. Olofsson, R. Ottensamer, I. Pagano, Ε. Πάλλη, G. Peter, D. Piazza, G. Piotto, D. Pollacco, K. Poppenhaeger, D. Queloz, Roberto Ragazzoni, N. Rando, H. Rauer, I. Ribas, M. Rieder, N. C. Santos, G. Scandariato, D. Ségransan, A. E. Simon, Allison Smith, S. G. Sousa, Richard Southworth, M. Stalport, S. Sulis, S. Udry, Soléne Ulmer-Moll, V. Van Grootel, J. Venturini, E. Villaver, N. A. Walton, T. Zingales

Bibliographic record

VenueArXiv.org · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicStellar, planetary, and galactic studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersEuropean Regional Development FundStaatssekretariat für Bildung, Forschung und InnovationScience and Technology Facilities CouncilHorizon 2020 Framework ProgrammeInstituto de Astrofísica de CanariasVedecká Grantová Agentúra MŠVVaŠ SR a SAVFundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaCentre National d’Etudes SpatialesFondazione CRTEuropean CommissionMinisterio de Ciencia e InnovaciónNvidiaGeneralitat de CatalunyaUK Space AgencyAustrian Science FundSwedish National Space AgencyNational Research, Development and Innovation OfficeAgencia Estatal de InvestigaciónSchweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen ForschungCanadian Celiac AssociationAgence Nationale de la RechercheAgentúra na Podporu Výskumu a VývojaUniversity of WarwickDipartimenti di EccellenzaDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftCentres de Recerca de CatalunyaNational Science FoundationEuropean Space AgencyFonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRSMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y UniversidadesSimons FoundationSlovenská Akadémia Vied
KeywordsMedicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

AU Mic is a very active M dwarf with an edge-on debris disk and two transiting sub-Neptunes with a possible third planetary companion. The two transiting planets exhibit significant transit-timing variations (TTVs) that are caused by the gravitational interaction between the bodies in the system. Using photometrical observations taken with the CHaracterizing ExOPlanet Satellite (CHEOPS), our goal is to constrain the planetary radii, the orbital distances and periods of AU Mic b and c. We aim to determine the superperiod of the TTVs for AU Mic b and to update the transit ephemeris for both planets. Based on the observed TTVs, we study the possible presence of a third planet in the system. We conducted high precision photometric observations with CHEOPS in 2022 and 2023. We used Allesfitter to fit the planetary transits and to constrain the planetary and orbital parameters. We combined our new measurements with results from previous years to determine the periods and amplitudes of the TTVs. We applied dynamical modelling based on TTV measurements from the 2018-2023 period to reconstruct the perceived variations. The orbital distances and periods for AU Mic b and c agree with the results from previous works. However, the values for the planetary radii deviate slightly from previous values, which we attribute to the effect of stellar spots. AU Mic c showed very strong TTVs, with transits that occurred ~80 minutes later in 2023 than in 2021. Through dynamical analysis of the system, we found that the observed TTVs can be explained by a third planet with an orbital period of ~12.6 days and a mass of 0.203+0.022-0.024 M_E. We explored the orbital geometry of the system and found that AU Mic c has a misaligned retrograde orbit. Due limited number of observations the exact configuration and planetary parameters could not be determined. Further monitoring with CHEOPS may improve these results.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.023
Threshold uncertainty score0.047

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.055
GPT teacher head0.243
Teacher spread0.188 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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