TRACE Model: Predicting Treatment Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Purpose: To develop and validate a predictive model for predicting six-month outcome by integrating pretreatment MRI features and one-month treatment response after TACE. Methods: A total of 108 patients with 160 hCCs from a single-arm, multicenter clinical trial (NCT03113955) were analyzed and served as the training cohort. An external multicenter dataset (ChiCTR2100046020) consisting of 63 patients with 99 hCCs served as the test dataset. Radiomics model was constructed based on the selected features from pretreatment MR images. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of clinical and radiological factors were used to identify the independent predictors for the 6-month treatment response. A combined model was further constructed by incorporating one-month treatment response, selected clinical and radiological factors and radiomics signature. Results: Among all the clinical and radiological features, only corona enhancement and one-month treatment response were selected. The combined model, named TRACE model (Treatment response at 1 month, RAdiomics and Corona Enhancement), with AUCs of 0.91 (training cohort) and 0.84 (test cohort). The TRACE model demonstrated a significantly higher AUC than the radiomics model ( P = 0.001). High-risk and low-risk groups stratified by using the TRACE model also exhibited significant differences in overall survival (OS) ( P < 0.001). In contrast, none of the published scoring systems, including ART, SNACOR or ABCR score, demonstrated significant differences between the risk groups in OS prediction. Conclusion: The TRACE model exhibited favorable predictive capability for six-month TACE response, and holds potential as a marker for long-term survival outcomes. Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma, treatment response, transarterial chemoembolization, radiomics
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".