Identifying causes of aviation safety events using wW2V-tCNN with data augmentation
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Identifying the causes of these safety events is crucial for safety agencies to create recommendations and for airlines to enhance procedures and mitigate hazards. This paper proposes a model to identify the causes of civil aviation safety events using a weighted Word2Vec-based Text-CNN (wW2V-tCNN) algorithm and data augmentation techniques. A corpus is built by matching narrative texts from investigation reports with cause labels from the Aviation Safety Network database. This corpus is transformed into Text-CNN inputs using a weighted sentence vector method based on word embeddings, considering word frequency and part-of-speech weighting. Additionally, a novel document balancing method is introduced for data augmentation. The proposed identification model achieves Macro-F1 and Macro-accuracy scores of 0.9803 and 0.9699, outperforming traditional methods and showing significant improvement over models like Doc2vec and SBERT. This model provides an accurate tool for safety agencies and airlines to analyze and effectively mitigate civil aviation safety events.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it