Spinal cord demyelination predicts neurological deterioration in patients with mild degenerative cervical myelopathy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM) is the most common form of atraumatic spinal cord injury globally. Clinical guidelines regarding surgery for patients with mild DCM and minimal symptoms remain uncertain. This study aims to identify imaging and clinical predictors of neurological deterioration in mild DCM and explore pathophysiological correlates to guide clinical decision-making. Methods: Patients with mild DCM underwent advanced MRI scans that included T2-weighted, diffusion tensor imaging and magnetisation transfer (MT) sequences, along with clinical outcome measures at baseline and 6-month intervals after enrolment. Quantitative MRI (qMRI) metrics were derived above and below maximally compressed cervical levels (MCCLs). Various machine learning (ML) models were trained to predict 6 month neurological deterioration, followed by global and local model interpretation to assess feature importance. Results: A total of 49 patients were followed for a maximum of 2 years, contributing 110 6-month data entries. Neurological deterioration occurred in 38% of cases. The best-performing ML model, combining clinical and qMRI metrics, achieved a balanced accuracy of 83%, and an area under curve-receiver operating characteristic of 0.87. Key predictors included MT ratio (demyelination) above the MCCL in the dorsal and ventral funiculi and moderate tingling in the arm, shoulder or hand. qMRI metrics significantly improved predictive performance compared to models using only clinical (bal. acc=68.1%) or imaging data (bal. acc=57.4%). Conclusions: Reduced myelin content in the dorsal and ventral funiculi above the site of compression, combined with sensory deficits in the hands and gait/balance disturbances, predicts 6-month neurological deterioration in mild DCM and may warrant early surgical intervention.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".