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Record W4407266424 · doi:10.1177/87552930251314570

Non‐ergodic correction factors for hard rock sites in Western Canada

2025· article· en· W4407266424 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Behzad Hassani, Gail M. Atkinson, M H Fairhurst, Li Yan, Jonathan P. Stewart, Megan Sheffer

Bibliographic record

VenueEarthquake Spectra · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicRock Mechanics and Modeling
Canadian institutionsWestern UniversityBC Hydro (Canada)
FundersBC Hydro
KeywordsErgodic theoryGeologyGeographySeismologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

For short‐period structures situated on hard rock, accurate characterization of ground motions at high frequencies is critical. Predictions based on empirical ground motion models (GMMs) for generic site conditions carry large uncertainties, especially because the datasets used to develop GMMs are often lacking in observations for hard rock sites. The current state‐of‐practice is to perform a V S ‐ host‐to‐target correction, where V S is the site shear‐wave velocity and is the near‐surface high‐frequency attenuation parameter. However, in the absence of site‐specific ground motion data, the modeling parameters ( V S and ) and their reliability in predicting the correct adjustment factors are not well quantified and are subject to large epistemic uncertainty. We apply an alternative framework to characterize hard rock site response in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) using site‐specific ground motion data. Our methodology relies on estimation of the non‐ergodic hard rock site response at a given site, as derived using site‐specific Fourier amplitude spectra. The use of site‐specific data allows us to remove the site‐to‐site variability component from PSHA and greatly reduce epistemic uncertainty of the hard rock site response. We demonstrate the applicability of the proposed methodology for a critical facility in British Columbia (B.C.), Canada. Comparison of the non‐ergodic and generic hard rock correction factors reveals the importance of compiling and using site‐specific data in PSHA. For competent hard rock, we suggest that amplification at high frequencies is often controlled by factors other than impedance effects, such as topographic effects or near‐surface high‐frequency attenuation; such effects are not well modeled through the traditional V S ‐ approach.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.628
Threshold uncertainty score0.986

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.207
Teacher spread0.197 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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