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Record W4407394923 · doi:10.1101/2025.02.10.25322041

Performance of DeepSeek-R1 in Ophthalmology: An Evaluation of Clinical Decision-Making and Cost-Effectiveness

2025· preprint· en· W4407394923 on OpenAlexaff
David Mikhail, Andrew Farah, Jason Milad, Wissam B. Nassrallah, Andrew Mihalache, Daniel Milad, Fares Antaki, Michael Balas, Marko M. Popovic, Alessandro Feo, Rajeev H. Muni, Pearse A. Keane, Renaud Duval

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Canadian institutionsUniversité de MontréalMcGill UniversityUniversity of WaterlooUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClinical decision makingOptometryOphthalmologyPsychologyMedicineFamily medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Purpose To compare the performance and cost-effectiveness of DeepSeek-R1 with OpenAI o1 in diagnosing and managing ophthalmology clinical cases. Study Design Cross-sectional evaluation. Methods A total of 300 clinical cases spanning 10 different ophthalmology subspecialties were collected from StatPearls. Each case presented a multiple-choice question regarding the diagnosis or management of the clinical case. DeepSeek-R1 was accessed through its public chat-based interface, while OpenAI o1 was queried via an Application Program Interface (API) with a standardized temperature setting of 0.3. Both models were prompted using the Plan-and-Solve+ (PS+) prompt engineering method, instructing them to answer multiple choice questions for each case. Performance was calculated as the proportion of correctly answered multiple choice questions. McNemar’s test was employed to compare the two models’ performance on paired data. Inter-model agreement for correct diagnoses was evaluated via Cohen’s kappa. A token-based cost analysis was performed to estimate the comparative expenditures of running each model at scale, accounting for both input prompts and model-generated output. Results DeepSeek-R1 and OpenAI o1 both achieved an identical overall performance of 82.0% (n=246/300; 95% CI: 77.3-85.9). Subspeciality-specific analysis revealed numerical variation in performance, though none of these comparisons reached statistical significance (p>0.05). Agreement in performance between the models was moderate overall (κ=0.503, p<0.001), with substantial agreement in Refractive Management/Intervention (κ=0.698, p<0.001) and moderate agreement in Retina/Vitreous (κ=0.561, p<0.001) and Ocular Pathology/Oncology (κ=0.495, p<0.01) cases. Cost analysis indicated an approximately 15-fold reduction in per-query, token-related expenses when using DeepSeek-R1 compared with OpenAI o1 for the same workload. Conclusions DeepSeek-R1 demonstrates robust diagnostic reasoning and management decision-making capabilities, performing comparably to OpenAI o1 across a range of ophthalmic subspecialty cases, while also offering a substantial reduction in usage costs. These findings highlight the feasibility of utilizing open-weight, reinforcement learning-augmented LLMs as an accessible, cost-effective alternative to proprietary models.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.018
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.049
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.018
Threshold uncertainty score0.096

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0180.049
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.556
GPT teacher head0.564
Teacher spread0.008 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations17
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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