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Record W4407630575 · doi:10.59490/joas.2025.7402

Spatial modelling of midair collision risk using ADS-B data

2025· article· en· W4407630575 on OpenAlexaff
Nicolas Vincent-Boulay, Catharine Marsden

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Open Aviation Science · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFlood Risk Assessment and Management
Canadian institutionsRoyal Military College of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCollisionComputer scienceGeographyComputer security

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The airspace environment is a system that is expected to continue increasing in complexity with the projected growth of air traffic volumes and the introduction of new types of air vehicles and operations such as uncrewed aircraft. This increase in complexity brings a need for investigating and developing new models of airspace environments as a means of better understanding and managing their constituent parts. This paper presents a methodology for creating a geospatial model of complex airspace environments which can be used to study any geospatially distributed entity that is part of these systems. The methodology leverages Discrete Global Grid Systems (DGGS), a Geographic Information Systems framework often utilized in the fields of geography and urban planning. The usefulness of the model is demonstrated using two case studies investigating the risk factors associated with weather and mid-air collisions in an airspace region of interest. Since such a model needs to be able to work for any type of air vehicle and airspace region in a fully three-dimensional model capable of performing time-varying analysis in a computationally efficient manner, a rudimentary geospatial airspace risk model was also developed which satisfies these requirements. Weather radar data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and air traffic data from the OpenSky Network were collected and integrated in the geospatial model and the geospatial airspace risk model was used to calculate the risk of collisions for geospatially distributed points in the airspace for four scenarios of increasing airspace complexity. The results from these four scenarios demonstrate that the proposed methodology can be used to study the risk associated with spatially distributed risk factors for different points in the airspace for any type of air vehicle and airspace region of interest in a fully three-dimensional model that can perform time-varying analysis in a computationally efficient manner.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.474
Threshold uncertainty score0.388

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.003
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.097
GPT teacher head0.385
Teacher spread0.288 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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