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Record W4407896062 · doi:10.1101/2025.02.23.24319116

Diagnostic performance of Alzheimer’s disease blood biomarkers in a Brazilian cohort

2025· preprint· en· W4407896062 on OpenAlexaff
Wyllians Vendramini Borelli, Pâmela C.L. Ferreira, Wagner S. Brum, João Pedro Ferrari‐Souza, Giovanna Carello‐Collar, Maila Rossato Holz, Victoria Tizeli, Matheus Zschornack Strelow, Carolina Formoso, Márcia Lorena Fagundes Chaves, Andréia Silva da Rocha, Cristiano Schaffer Aguzzoli, Francieli Rohden, Débora Guerini de Souza, Artur Francisco Schumacher Schuh, Guilherme Povala, Bruna Bellaver, Pedro Rosa‐Neto, Raphael Machado Castilhos, Tharick A. Pascoal, Eduardo R. Zimmer

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicDementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityCentres Intégré Universitaires de Santé et de Services SociauxCentre Intégré Universitaire de Santé et de Services Sociaux du Centre-Sud-de-l'Île-de-MontréalCentre Intégré Universitaire de Santé et de Services Sociaux du Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCohortDiseaseMedicineAlzheimer's diseaseInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Blood-based biomarkers (BBMs) have emerged as promising tools to enhance Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis. Despite two-thirds of dementia cases occurring in the Global South, research on BBMs has predominantly focused on populations from the Global North. This geographical disparity hinders our understanding of BBM performance in diverse populations. To address this, we evaluated the diagnostic properties of AD BBMs in a real-world memory clinic from Brazil, one of the largest countries in the Global South. We measured blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers - amyloid-β (Aβ)40, Aβ42, phosphorylated tau (p-tau) 217, neurofilament light (NfL) chain, and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) - in 59 individuals. Sample comprised 20 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals, 22 with AD dementia, and 17 with vascular dementia (VaD). We compared BBM levels across diagnostic groups and assessed their discriminative ability for AD. Notably, individuals with VaD and AD had lower educational levels (6.8±3.0) compared to CU individuals (61.4±6.6). Among the BBMs tested, plasma p-tau217 demonstrated the best performance, exhibiting high accuracy in differentiating CU from AD (AUC 0.96) and Aβ pathology (AUC 0.98). However, the ability of AD BBMs to distinguish between AD and VaD was lower than expected (AUC from 0.52 to 0.79), particularly when compared to studies from the Global North. Our findings highlight the potential utility of BBMs for AD diagnosis in real-world settings within the Global South. However, they also underscore the need for proper implementation and validation of these biomarkers within these populations to ensure accurate and reliable results.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.069
Threshold uncertainty score0.137

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.315
Teacher spread0.297 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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