A Variable Step-Size Hybrid Adaptive Nonlinear Filter for Solar Radiation Prediction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, a new hybrid adaptive nonlinear filter (HANF) scheme with variable step sizes (VSS) is proposed for solar radiation prediction. Our methodology consists of a Volterra filter and a functional link artificial neural network (FLANN) filter. The Volterra filter with the first- and second-order kernels is included, that is capable of expressing both linearity and nonlinearity. The FLANN filter can handle the nonlinearity that may be expressed by higher-order exponential terms that the Volterra filter with a limited number of kernels is unable to deal with. The VSSs are introduced in the two filters to allow the HANF to enjoy desirable tracking capability such that the time-varying nonlinearity underlying the nonlinear phenomena can be detected and tracked. The proposed VSS-HANF is applied to a real hourly solar radiation time sequence to confirm its improved prediction performance as compared to its counterpart with fixed step sizes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".