Effect of diabetes medications on the risk of developing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, or cognitive decline: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Diabetes is a risk factor for dementia, but we do not know whether specific diabetes medications ameliorate this risk. Objective: To systematically review and meta-analyze such medication's effect on the risk of developing dementia, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), or cognitive decline. Methods: We searched three databases until 21 November 2023. We included randomized controlled trials (RCT), cohort, and case-control studies assessing association between antidiabetic medication and future dementia, MCI, or cognitive decline. We meta-analyzed studies separately for individual drug classes and their comparators (no medication, placebo, or another drug). We appraised study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and Physiotherapy Evidence Database Scale. Results: 42 studies fulfilled inclusion criteria. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) versus placebo reduced dementia risk by 53% in three RCTs (n = 15,820, RR = 0.47[0.25, 0.86]) and 27% in three case-control studies (n = 312,856, RR = 0.73[0.54, 0.99], I 2 = 96%). Repaglinide was superior to glibenclamide by 0.8 points on the Mini-Mental State Examination scale in another RCT. Meta-analysis of seven longitudinal studies showed glitazones (n = 1,081,519, RR = 0.78[0.76, 0.81], I 2 = 0%) were associated with reduced dementia risk. Metformin (n = 999,349, RR = 0.94[0.79, 1.13], I 2 = 98.4%), sulfonylureas (RR = 0.98[0.78, 1.22], I 2 = 83.3%), dipeptidyl peptidase-IV inhibitors (DPP-1V) (n = 192,802, RR = 0.86[0.65, 1.15], I 2 = 92.9%) and insulin (n = 571,274, RR = 1.09[0.95, 1.25], I 2 = 94.8%) were not. Most studies were observational and limited by confounding by indication. Conclusions: In people with diabetes, RCTs consistently showed GLP-RAs reduce future dementia risk. Glitazones consistently showed protective effects, without heterogeneity, suggesting potential generalizability of these results. Metformin, sulfonylureas, insulin, and DPP-1V studies had inconsistent findings. If information is available future studies should consider dosage, severity, and duration.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.012 | 0.026 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.021 | 0.038 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.007 | 0.007 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".