Efficient Post-Shrinkage Estimation Strategies in High-Dimensional Cox’s Proportional Hazards Models
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Regularization methods such as LASSO, adaptive LASSO, Elastic-Net, and SCAD are widely employed for variable selection in statistical modeling. However, these methods primarily focus on variables with strong effects while often overlooking weaker signals, potentially leading to biased parameter estimates. To address this limitation, Gao, Ahmed, and Feng (2017) introduced a corrected shrinkage estimator that incorporates both weak and strong signals, though their results were confined to linear models. The applicability of such approaches to survival data remains unclear, despite the prevalence of survival regression involving both strong and weak effects in biomedical research. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel class of post-selection shrinkage estimators tailored to the Cox model framework. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators and demonstrate their potential to enhance estimation and prediction accuracy through simulations that explicitly incorporate weak signals. Finally, we validate the practical utility of our approach by applying it to two real-world datasets, showcasing its advantages over existing methods.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it