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Record W4408423883 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-4555

Thermal mixing patterns in Lake Ontario as revealed by novel year-round observations of thermal stratification

2025· preprint· en· W4408423883 on OpenAlexaffabout
Mathew G. Wells, T. C. Johnson, Jon Midwood, Sarah Larouque, Adam Eddie, Brian P. O’Malley, Dimitry Gorsky

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAquatic Invertebrate Ecology and Behavior
Canadian institutionsQueen's UniversityMinistry of Natural Resources and ForestryFisheries and Oceans CanadaUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsThermal stratificationStratification (seeds)Mixing (physics)ThermalEnvironmental scienceGeographyHydrology (agriculture)GeologyClimatologyMeteorologyPhysicsBiologyGeotechnical engineeringTurbulence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Year-round records of thermal stratification in the Great Lakes are rare, and there are few observations of thermal stratification during winter. In this paper we analyze temperature data from 13 temperature logger chains and from over 130 benthic acoustic receivers that were deployed across Lake Ontario for two years. The timing and duration of the fall overturn correlates with the local average water depth, and shallow sites ( 100 m depths). Likewise, in spring the shallow sites warm faster. Lake Ontario has partial ice cover, so wind driven mixing stirs the water column throughout winter and inverse thermal stratification is largely absent. The depth-averaged winter water temperatures vary between 0 – 4oC, with the coldest temperatures (near 0.1oC) found in the shallow Kingston basin, and warmest temperatures (near 4oC) at sites near the 244 m deep Rochester Basin. Lake Ontario appears to be a warm monomictic lake, rather than having a dimictic mixing pattern – there is no sustained ice cover or inverse stratification that inhibits vertical mixing in winter. Winter is a poorly understood season for many aquatic processes, including fish bioenergetics, fish distribution, biochemical processes, invertebrate distribution and production. Moreover, lack of knowledge of winter has hampered the use of correct initial conditions for running large lake hydrodynamic models. We discuss the implications of these 2-year observations of thermal stratification in Lake Ontario for interpreting fish habitat usage and fish reproductive phenology and for fisheries management.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.773
Threshold uncertainty score0.456

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.258
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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