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Record W4408428024 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12514

Arctic biodiversity responses to climate change impacts in the Canadian Beaufort Sea 

2025· preprint· en· W4408428024 on OpenAlexaffabout
Inda Brinkmann, Matt O’Regan, Bennet Juhls, Pier Paul Overduin, Lisa Bröder, Negar Haghipour, Jorien E. Vonk, Julie Lattaud, Taylor Priest, Dustin Whalen, Atsushi Matsuoka, André Pellerin, Daniel Rudbäck, María‐Emilia Rodríguez‐Cuicas, Katharina Schwarzkopf, Blanda Matzenbacher, Thomas Bossé-Demers, Michael Fritz, Peter D. Heintzman

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversité LavalUniversité du Québec à RimouskiGeological Survey of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBeaufort seaArcticClimate changeBiodiversityThe arcticBeaufort scaleOceanographyGeographyEnvironmental scienceFisheryClimatologyEcologyGeologyBiology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Arctic is experiencing unprecedented rates of warming. Arctic coastal environments are particularly vulnerable to the consequences: thawing of permafrost, decline of sea ice, and increased fluxes of sediment, organic carbon and nutrients across the land-ocean interface. These effects of global climate change drive significant transformations in coastal biogeochemistry and ecosystems, with severe implications for local communities. However, the responses of nearshore Arctic ecosystems to these changes, as well as involved mechanisms and driving forces, remain poorly constrained. The 'Fluxes from Land to Ocean: How Coastal Habitats in the Arctic Respond' (FLO CHAR) project focuses on the Mackenzie Delta region of the Beaufort Sea and asks the question: How does modern climate change alter land-ocean dynamics and the biodiversity of coastal ecosystems? A key objective is to explore biodiversity shifts and ecosystem functioning over the past millennium, to gain long-term perspectives of ecosystem dynamics in response to climate-driven changes. This is achieved through marine sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) analyses, utilizing state-of-the-art metabarcoding approaches and shotgun metagenomics. Establishing baseline data of coastal biodiversity in the Beaufort-Mackenzie region during the Late Holocene will allow to put modern biodiversity and ecosystem dynamics in a long-term context. Further, key diversity shifts will be assessed in the context of paleoenvironmental and -geochemical records to assess potential responses to climate change impacts, such as sea ice dynamics and land-ocean organic matter fluxes. The outcomes of the project will offer a critical framework for assessing future directions of Arctic coastal environments, and developing sustainable management and adaptation strategies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.034
Threshold uncertainty score0.248

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0050.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.130
GPT teacher head0.381
Teacher spread0.250 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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