Not all continental shelf seafloor is the same: detailed sediment characterization dramatically reduces estimates of organic carbon standing stock
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Continental shelf sediments contain some of the largest stocks of organic carbon (OC) on Earth and critically influence the global carbon cycle. Quantifying how much OC continental shelves store and determining its residence time is key to assess how the ocean carbon cycle will be altered by climate change and anthropogenic perturbations of the seabed. Spatial variations in terrestrial carbon stocks are well studied and mapped at high resolution, but our knowledge of the distribution of marine OC in different seafloor settings is still very limited, particularly in dynamic and spatially variable shelf environments. This lack of knowledge reduces our ability to understand and predict how much and for how long the ocean sequesters CO2.In this study, we use high-resolution multibeam echosounder (MBES) data from the Eastern Shore Islands offshore Nova Scotia (Canada), combined with OC measurements from discrete samples, to assess the distribution of OC content in seafloor sediments. We derive four different spatial estimates of organic carbon stock: (i) OC density estimates scaled to the entire study region assuming a homogenous seafloor, (ii) interpolation of OC density estimates using empirical Bayesian kriging, (iii) OC density estimates scaled to areas of soft substrate estimated using a high-resolution classified substrate map, and (iv) empirical Bayesian regression kriging of OC density within areas of estimated soft sediment only. These four distinct spatial models yielded dramatically different estimates of standing stock of OC in our study area of 223 km2: 80,901, 58,406, 16,437 and 6,475 t of OC, respectively. Our study demonstrates that high-resolution mapping is critically important for improved estimates of OC stocks on continental shelves and for the identification of carbon hotspots that need to be considered in seabed management and climate mitigation strategies. These results will be discussed in the larger context of OC storage on the Atlantic Canadian Shelf.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".