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Record W4408428535 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13574

Long-term Trends in Organic Carbon Concentrations within Cloud Water and Precipitation Samples in the Northeastern United States 

2025· preprint· en· W4408428535 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sara Lance, Christopher E. Lawrence, Archana Tripathy, Paul Casson, P.B. Snyder, Georgia Murray, Desneiges S. Murray, Adam S. Wymore, William H. McDowell, Michelle D. Shattuck, James B. Shanley, John L. Campbell, Mark Green, Eric C. Apel, Rebecca S. Hornbrook, Alan J. Hills, Elizabeth Yerger, Dan Kelting

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPrecipitationTerm (time)Environmental scienceCloud computingTotal organic carbonClimatologyEnvironmental chemistryGeographyMeteorologyChemistryGeologyPolitical sciencePhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Recent research at Whiteface Mountain, one of the few remaining sites in the U.S. where long-term cloud water chemistry research has continued to the present day, has revealed a doubling in cloud water organic carbon concentrations since measurements began in 2009. This dramatic increasing trend was an unexpected result, which requires further investigation. The present study attempts to verify these results using additional independent datasets from within the region and explores potential driving factors behind the observed organic carbon trends. Through evaluation of measurements from four additional sites in the north eastern U.S., each with long-term measurements of organic carbon concentrations within bulk cloud water or wet deposition samples, we show that there is strong evidence for a regional increasing trend in organic concentrations within aqueous atmospheric samples. These results provide further context behind the growing inorganic ion imbalance observed in wet deposition samples collected across the eastern U.S. and Canada, as identified in a separate study published in 2021. We discuss hypotheses for the potential driving factors behind the increasing organic carbon trends observed, including increased biomass burning influence, increased biogenic emissions and a changing chemical regime characterized by relatively high concentrations of reactive nitrogen chemical species.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.258
Threshold uncertainty score0.513

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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