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Record W4408429543 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15630

Regional differences in drained lake basin distribution and surface characteristics across the Arctic 

2025· preprint· en· W4408429543 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Helena Bergstedt, Annett Bartsch, Clemens von Baeckmann, Benjamin Jones, Amy Breen, Juliane Wolter, Louise Farquharson, Guido Grosse, Mikhail Kanevskiy

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArcticStructural basinDistribution (mathematics)The arcticPhysical geographyGeologyEnvironmental scienceHydrology (agriculture)GeographyOceanographyGeomorphologyMathematicsGeotechnical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Lakes and drained lake basins (DLBs) cover 50% to 75% of the landscape in permafrost lowland regions of Alaska, Siberia, and Canada. Lakes and DLBs of different ages create a heterogeneous and dynamic mosaic of terrain units, providing unique habitats for flora and fauna. Lakes and drained lake basins play a crucial role in the permafrost landscape and ecosystem processes, influencing permafrost dynamics, the hydrologic regime, and biogeochemical processes including carbon cycling and greenhouse gas emissions. Depending on time passed since drainage of a given DLB, characteristics like surface roughness, vegetation, moisture, and abundance of ponds may vary between basins. Spatial heterogeneity within a single basin also varies between basins of different age, climatic subzone and underlying surficial geology. The mosaic of vegetative and geomorphic succession within DLBs and the distinct differences between DLBs and surrounding areas can be discriminated with remote sensing and used to derive a landscape-scale classification.Here we present an update from the circumpolar DLB mapping effort with a focus on regional differences in DLB distribution and DLB characteristics made visible by this systematic approach. We use the novel pan-Arctic assessment on DLB occurrence and the ESA Permafrost_cci circumpolar landcover unit data to assess the inter and intra-DLB spatial heterogeneity of surface characteristics, comparing different regions across the Arctic. Building on existing research, we utilize parameters like landcover patchiness, pond abundance and wetland distribution to infer relative age of different basins within a defined region. Different regions across the Arctic show different landcover distributions within basins, highlighting the importance for region-specific analysis when studying these landscape features. First results show distinct differences between DLBs of different geographic regions areas of differing surficial geology, based on the landcover occurring within basins and other surface properties. Comprehensive mapping and characterizing of DLBs on a circumpolar scale will allow for improved parametrization of regional to pan-Arctic modelling efforts and improve our understanding of DLBs as a crucial landform in Arctic permafrost landscapes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.061
Threshold uncertainty score0.121

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.065
GPT teacher head0.279
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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