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Record W4408431046 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14030

A rapid tectonic plate reorganization event dynamically modelled by subduction cessation

2025· preprint· en· W4408431046 on OpenAlexaff
J. P. Lowman, Joshua Guerrero, Chad Fairservice, Pejvak Javaheri, Paul Tackley

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
Topicearthquake and tectonic studies
Canadian institutionsThe Scarborough HospitalUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSubductionSeismologyGeologyPlate tectonicsTectonicsEvent (particle physics)Physics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The linearity of current-day ocean floor fracture zones demonstrates the longevity of periods of relatively steady plate motion, characterized by little to very slow movement of the associated Euler poles that describe the motion of the plates on a spherical surface. However, the geologic record also holds evidence that periods of nearly steady plate motion have been interrupted by comparatively rapid plate reorganization events, occurring in less than 10 Myr, that are well described by considering the associated change in the history of the Euler vector directions and/or magnitudes of the affected plates. One category of proposals for the driving mechanism for plate reorganization events makes a case for deeper mantle derived forces instigating surface motion change. A key factor in starting the initiation of mantle driven plate reorganization events may be the mantle’s radiogenically derived internal heating, which acts to form unstable reservoirs of buoyancy below the oldest sections of a plate, adjacent to mature slabs. The potential for internal heating to produce focused hot parcels in the mantle, capable of disrupting the steadiness of convection patterns, was described in previous numerical studies of thermal convection in momentum free fluids. Determination of the degree of success of plate generation is dependent on identifying all potential plate boundaries and inverting the implied intra-plate velocities to test their agreement on a common rotation axis (i.e., the plate’s Euler pole). Here, we utilize an iterative method for implementing a previously described tool for identifying potential plate boundaries in the output of a 3D numerical model of mantle convection. Post-processing model output for a period simulating nearly 150 Myr of evolution we track the history of several neighbouring plates and find that they maintain rigidity well demonstrated by Euler vector fitting of the intra-plate velocities. We find that generally, as their sizes and position change, the plates exhibit motion that changes direction and magnitude slowly. However, we also find that steady evolution can be punctuated by major but relatively short duration reorganization events, that we identify as being driven by the impact of mantle internal heating on the loss of slab-pull at a mature convergent plate boundary.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.022
Threshold uncertainty score0.044

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.215
Teacher spread0.203 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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