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Record W4408432183 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12132

Identifying Spatial Patterns in Greenhouse Gas Fluxes through an Arctic Tundra Snowpack 

2025· preprint· en· W4408432183 on OpenAlexaffabout
Nick Rutter, Gabriel Hould Gosselin, P. J. Mann, Oliver Sonnentag, Philip Marsh

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsWilfrid Laurier UniversityUniversité de Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTundraSnowpackSnowEnvironmental scienceGreenhouse gasArcticThe arcticAtmospheric sciencesGreenhouseClimatologyGeographyMeteorologyOceanographyPhysicsGeologyAgronomy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Cold season greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been found to make non-negligible contributions to annual carbon budgets in Arctic-boreal regions. The Arctic is warming three to four times faster than the global average, changing the magnitude and phase (snow/rain) of precipitation, and the thermal regimes of snow-covered ground.Future projections of winter GHG emissions require accurate simulations of the insulative properties of Arctic snowpacks and improved parameterisations of soil heterotrophic respiration as a function of soil thermal and moisture regimes. To improve these parameterisations in terrestrial biospheric models, we measured carbon dioxide and methane fluxes through the late-winter snowpack of a mineral upland tundra site in the western Canadian Arctic. Fluxes were calculated using highly resolved GHG snow concentration gradients and vertical snowpack microstructure (n = 119), over a range of microtopographic and vegetation types.GHG emission rates were statistically independent of vertical snow microstructures, suggesting high snow gas porosity relative to soil emission. Carbon dioxide emissions were measured across a wide range of tundra landscape types, and were closely linked to soil temperatures, vegetation type and snow depths. Importantly, persistent net methane sinks were also found across landcover types in warmer soils (-6 to -2 oC), showing active methane oxidation during winter periods. Methane emissions were not always consistent within surface cover types, suggesting available liquid soil moisture and carbon availability as important controls.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.557
Threshold uncertainty score0.891

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.110
GPT teacher head0.317
Teacher spread0.208 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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