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Record W4408435858 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8342

Effect of changing tundra vegetation on greenhouse gas emissions from Arctic permafrost soil

2025· preprint· en· W4408435858 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Larissa Frey, A. F. Carter, Ruud Rijkers, Lewis Sauerland, Rica Wegner, Birgit Wild

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPermafrostTundraGreenhouse gasVegetation (pathology)Environmental scienceArcticEarth scienceThe arcticClimate changePhysical geographyGeologyGeographyOceanography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Arctic is warming rapidly, causing permafrost thaw and vegetation shifts. As a result, shrubs and trees from lower latitudes are encroaching into the tundra, altering biomass distribution above and below ground. These changes impact greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by influencing litter input, root distribution, and microbial activity. A key mechanism in GHG production in soils is the rhizosphere priming effect, where labile carbon inputs from plants into the soil stimulate microorganisms to produce enzymes that decompose both labile and recalcitrant soil organic matter (SOM). However, the effects of rhizosphere priming on SOM decomposition and its influence on greenhouse gas emissions under natural conditions remain poorly understood. To address this, we simulated sub-Arctic vegetation changes in a controlled environment using tundra soil and plants sampled from the Northwest Territories, Canada. The soil was processed, homogenized, and placed into macrocosm chambers while preserving the original horizon sequence. The experiment included four vegetation types and one control, with plant species that are characteristic for the transition from sub-Arctic to lower Arctic bioclimate zones and included a small tree (Picea mariana), deciduous shrubs (Betula glandulosa, Alnus viridis) and graminoids (Eriophorum vaginatum, Carex sp.). Over three months, representing one growing season, weekly soil pore gas samples were taken at different depths, and surface efflux was measured additionally every three weeks. Preliminary results indicate that soil pore gas concentrations of CO2 increased with depth and over the experiment's duration across all vegetation groups and the control, and showed variability among vegetation types. Soil pore gas concentrations will be compared with soil efflux, dissolved organic carbon, microbial carbon contents, extracellular enzyme activity, and other parameters currently under evaluation. These data will help us to elucidate the role of woody plant species for permafrost soil processes and their contribution to GHG production in Arctic tundra ecosystems.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.105
Threshold uncertainty score0.208

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.264
Teacher spread0.240 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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