Systemic Therapies for Psoriatic Disease and Serious Infections in Older Adults
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Systemic treatments for psoriatic disease affect the immune system and may increase infection risk. Older adults are at high risk for infection, and the relative safety of systemic treatments for them is unknown. Objective: To evaluate the association of systemic treatments for psoriatic disease with rates of serious infection among older adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used linked population-based health administrative data from 2002 to 2021 in Ontario, Canada. Participants included Ontario residents 66 years and older with psoriatic disease who were dispensed their first systemic medication between April 1, 2002, and December 31, 2020. Data were analyzed between November 2021 and August 2024. Exposure: Time-varying use of systemic medications categorized as (1) methotrexate; (2) other older systemic medications; (3) anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) biologics; (4) other biologics (targeting interleukin [IL]-12, IL-23, and IL-17); and (5) tofacitinib. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was time to serious infection, defined as hospitalization for any infectious cause occurring up to March 2021. Multivariable Andersen-Gill recurrent event regression was used to estimate the association between each medication category and serious infection rates. The relative rates (RRs) of serious infection with 95% CIs for time actively using each medication category vs time not using that medication category were calculated. Results: Of 11 641 new users of systemic therapy, 6114 (53%) were female, and the median (IQR) age was 71 (68-76) years. There were 1967 serious infections during a median (IQR) of 4.8 (2.3-8.4) years of follow-up. There were 2.7 serious infections per 100 person-years using methotrexate, 2.5 per 100 person-years using other older systemic drugs, 2.2 per 100 person-years using anti-TNF biologics, 1.4 per 100 person-years using other biologics, and 8.9 per 100 person-years using tofacitinib. In the multivariable-adjusted model, methotrexate (RR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.85-1.07]), other older systemic medications (RR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.79-1.07]), and anti-TNF biologics (RR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.69-1.10]) were not associated with serious infection compared to person-time not using those respective medications. Other biologics (RR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.48-0.88]) were associated with lower rates of serious infection, whereas tofacitinib (RR, 2.89 [95% CI, 1.14-7.34]) was associated with higher rates of serious infection. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, biologics targeting IL-12, IL-23, or IL-17 were associated with a lower rate of serious infection among older adults with psoriatic disease. These biologics may have important safety benefits for older adults with higher infection risk.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".