Lobbies and the USMCA: the role of interest groups in the negotiation of the New NAFTA’s investment rules
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper examines the USMCA (United States – Mexico – Canada Agreement) negotiation process that led to the replacement of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement), fulfilling a key Trump-era promise. Focused on Chapter 14’s investment provisions, our analysis uncovers the different outcomes for government contract investors, that were able to maintain the protection levels and ISDS (investor-state dispute settlement) access, to the detriment of other investors. Emphasizing the legal framework involving 25 advisory trade committees linked to the United States Trade Representative (USTR), we scrutinize a 40-document corpus, revealing the significant influence of interest groups, notably the National Manufacturers Association. Findings illuminate the intricacies of economic agreement negotiations and underscore lobbies’ substantial impact on U.S. foreign economic policy formulation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.006 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".