Validating At-Home Urinary Hormone Measurements in Postpartum and Perimenopause Fertility Transitions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Measuring quantitative menstrual cycle hormones at home may help women better understand their postpartum and perimenopause fertility transitions, but these quantitative fertility monitors require validation. Materials and Methods: This study included 16 North American women, aged 28–51, during either the postpartum ( n = 8, cycles = 18) or perimenopause ( n = 8, cycles = 35) fertility transitions testing daily first-morning urine testing with both the Mira Monitor and ClearBlue Fertility Monitor (CBFM) along with menstrual cycle parameter tracking. The main outcome measures were a rise in estrone-3-glucuronide (E 1 3G) and luteinizing hormone (LH) urine hormone values from the Mira monitor correlated to low, high, or peak values on the CBFM. Results: Both in the postpartum and perimenopause transitions, the identification of the day of ovulation based on the LH surge on the Mira and CBFM monitors was highly correlated (R = 0.94 and 0.83, p < 0.001). The E 1 3G levels on the Mira monitor were significantly higher for a CBFM reading of “High” compared with “Low” for both the postpartum and perimenopausal cycles (all p < 0.001). Similarly, the LH levels on the Mira monitor were significantly higher for a CBFM reading of “Peak” (LH surge) compared with “High” for both the postpartum and perimenopausal cycles (all p < 0.001). Conclusions: The LH surge and levels of E 1 3G in urine identified on the quantitative Mira fertility monitor strongly correlate to the LH surge and the shift from low to high on the CBFM during the postpartum and perimenopause transitions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".