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Record W4408970799 · doi:10.1007/s10479-025-06552-5

Adaptive optimization approach for production and distribution planning of perishable food products under demand uncertainty

2025· article· en· W4408970799 on OpenAlexaff
Farzad Avishan, İhsan Yanıkoğlu, Mehmet Soysal

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of Operations Research · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicSupply Chain and Inventory Management
Canadian institutionsHEC Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTheory of computationProduction (economics)Production planningFood processingComputer scienceDistribution (mathematics)Mathematical optimizationOperations researchMathematicsEconomicsMicroeconomicsFood scienceChemistryAlgorithm

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Management of production and distribution planning of perishable food products is crucial due to their low-profit margin and the increased environmental costs of manufacturing. The production planning of perishable products is challenging as it combines multiple factors such as temperature tracking of products, sequence-dependent facility setup cost, and uncertain demand in one setting. This paper studies the production and distribution planning problem for perishable food products and unifies the mentioned factors in an optimization framework. We propose an adaptive optimization approach to address the uncertainty in demand, providing flexible optimization approaches for a multi-period planning horizon. The first approach is adjustable robust optimization that generates a resilient and Pareto-efficient production and distribution plan to tackle demand uncertainty avoiding over-conservative solutions via decision rules. The second is the folding horizon, which re-optimizes production and distribution plans based on the realized demands over time. We assess the efficiency of the adaptive approach through extensive Monte Carlo simulation experiments. Furthermore, we perform a real-case adoption study on the production planning of a dairy factory to assess the applicability of our model and solution approach in real-world instances. According to the results, the adjustable approach and the folding horizon approach improve the objective function value by 4–14% and 5–28% for that of the orthodox robust model. The numerical results also show that the adjustable robust approach is always resistant to uncertainty, while the percentage of unmet demand for the deterministic model can reach as high as 18%.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.608
Threshold uncertainty score0.307

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.204
GPT teacher head0.378
Teacher spread0.174 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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