Worldwide burden of cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) in women over 50 years with abnormal cytology: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: More than half of global cervical cancer cases occur among women older than 50. However, global estimates regarding the human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence among this population are lacking, especially for women with abnormal cytology. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the worldwide HPV prevalence in women aged 50 and older with abnormal cytology. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science for quantitative studies reporting any or high-risk (HR)-HPV prevalence for women 50 years and older with abnormal cytology (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and higher). We extracted data on world region, subregion, cervical lesion type, recruitment setting, HPV test, year of study conduct and HPV prevalence from the included studies. We assessed the risk of bias of the included studies using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale. We estimated the pooled prevalence and 95% CIs of any-HPV and HR-HPV using random-effects models, considering the world regions. Additionally, we estimated the prevalence by HPV type, lesion type and age groups. RESULTS: Overall, 113 studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 104 were included in the meta-analysis. Among women aged 50 and older with abnormal cytology, the estimated global pooled prevalence of any-HPV from 53 studies, including 14 585 women, was 54.5% (95%CI, 46.0 to 62.8%), and the HR-HPV prevalence from 85 studies, covering 33 672 women, was 43.0% (95%CI, 36.6 to 49.5%). There was a higher HR-HPV prevalence among women with high-grade lesions and women living in the African continent. No major differences in HR-HPV prevalence between the age groups of women over 50 years were found. The most common single HPV types worldwide were 16 and 52, with pooled prevalence estimates of 12.0% (95%CI, 8.0% to 17.7%) and 8.4% (95%CI, 4.4% to 15.4%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight the relevance of targeted screening interventions among women 50 years and older. To achieve the elimination of cervical cancer, age-inclusive screening strategies should be considered. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021241365.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.015 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".