Validation of Quantitative Ultrasound and Texture Derivative Analyses-Based Model for Upfront Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Breast Cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This work was conducted in order to validate a pre-treatment quantitative ultrasound (QUS) and texture derivative analyses-based prediction model proposed in our previous study to identify responders and non-responders to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with breast cancer. The validation cohort consisted of 56 breast cancer patients diagnosed between the years 2018 and 2021. Among all patients, 53 were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and three had unplanned changes in their chemotherapy cycles. Radio Frequency (RF) data were collected volumetrically prior to the start of chemotherapy. In addition to tumour region (core), a 5 mm tumour-margin was also chosen for parameters estimation. The prediction model, which was developed previously based on quantitative ultrasound, texture derivative, and tumour molecular subtypes, was used to identify responders and non-responders. The actual response, which was determined by clinical and pathological assessment after lumpectomy or mastectomy, was then compared to the predicted response. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score for determining chemotherapy response of all patients in the validation cohort were 94%, 67%, 96%, 57%, and 95%, respectively. Removing patients who had unplanned changes in their chemotherapy resulted in a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score of all patients in the validation cohort of 94%, 100%, 100%, 50%, and 97%, respectively. Explanations for the misclassified cases included unplanned modifications made to the type of chemotherapy during treatment, inherent limitations of the predictive model, presence of DCIS in tumour structure, and an ill-defined tumour border in a minority of cases. Validation of a model was conducted in an independent cohort of patient for the first time to predict the tumour response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy using quantitative ultrasound, texture derivate, and molecular features in patients with breast cancer. Further research is needed to improve the positive predictive value and evaluate whether the treatment outcome can be improved in predicted non-responders by switching to other treatment options.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".