Deep learning analysis of hematoxylin and eosin-stained benign breast biopsies to predict future invasive breast cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Benign breast disease is an important risk factor for breast cancer development. In this study, we analyzed hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole-slide images from diagnostic benign breast disease biopsies using different deep learning approaches to predict which individuals would subsequently developed breast cancer (cases) or would not (controls). METHODS: We randomly divided cases and controls from a nested case-control study of 946 women with benign breast disease into training (331 cases, 331 control individuals) and test (142 cases, 142 control individuals) groups. We employed customized VGG-16 and AutoML machine learning models for image-only classification using whole-slide images, logistic regression for classification using only clinicopathological characteristics, and a multimodal network combining whole-slide images and clinicopathological characteristics for classification. RESULTS: Both image-only (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.83 [SE = 0.001] and 0.78 [SE = 0.001] for customized VGG-16 and AutoML models, respectively) and multimodal (AUROC = 0.89 [SE = 0.03]) networks had high discriminatory accuracy for breast cancer. The clinicopathological-characteristics-only model had the lowest AUROC (0.54 [SE = 0.03]). In addition, compared with the customized VGG-16 model, which performed better than the AutoML model, the multimodal network had improved accuracy (AUROC = 0.89 [SE = 0.03] vs 0.83 [SE = 0.02]), sensitivity (AUROC = 0.93 [SE = 0.04] vs 0.83 [SE = 0.003]), and specificity (AUROC = 0.86 [SE = 0.03] vs 0.84 [SE = 0.003]). CONCLUSION: This study opens promising avenues for breast cancer risk assessment in women with benign breast disease. Integrating whole-slide images and clinicopathological characteristics through a multimodal approach substantially improved predictive model performance. Future research will explore deep learning techniques to understand benign breast disease progression to invasive breast cancer.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".