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Record W4409307147 · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095577

Prevalence of dementia and mild cognitive impairment among the older prisoner population in England and Wales: a cross-sectional study

2025· article· en· W4409307147 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Katrina Forsyth, Baber Malik, Roger T. Webb, Leanne Heathcote, Laura Archer-Power, Richard Emsley, Jane Senior, Rachel Domone, Salman Karim, Adrian Hayes, Matthew Carr, Alistair Burns

Bibliographic record

VenueBMJ Open · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCriminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Institute for Health and Care Research
KeywordsMedicineDementiaMontreal Cognitive AssessmentGerontologyPopulationPrisonCross-sectional studyPsychiatryCognitive impairmentCognitionDemographyPsychologyEnvironmental healthDisease

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the prevalence of dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in the older prisoner population in England and Wales and to establish risk of harm to self and others, activity of daily living needs and social networks of prisoners with likely MCI and dementia. DESIGN: We screened 869 older prisoners (aged 50 years and older) using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Participants testing positive on the MoCA (≤23) were interviewed using the Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination, Third Revision (ACE-III) and a range of standardised assessments were used to assess risks of externalised violence and of self-harm; activities of daily living needs; mental health needs; history and symptoms of brain injury (if applicable) and social networks. SETTING: The sample was drawn randomly from women's prisons (n=10) and a representative range of adult men's prisons (n=11) across England and Wales. PARTICIPANTS: Participants were aged 50 or over and resident in one of the participating prison establishments on the study's census day. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: ACE-III. RESULTS: We recruited 596 men and 273 women prisoners. Across the whole sample of older prisoners, the prevalence of dementia was 7.0% (95% CI 5.5%, 8.9%) (when weighted for sex and age), with the highest prevalence found among prisoners aged 70 years and older at 11.8% (95% CI 8.0%, 17.1%). The prevalence of dementia for men was 7.0% (95% CI 5.2%, 9.4%) and for women was 6.0% (95% CI 3.8%, 9.5%). Only two individuals (3%) who screened positively on the MoCA had a diagnosis of dementia in their prison healthcare notes, suggesting current under-recognition. The prevalence of MCI was 0.8% (95% CI 0.4% to 1.7%, weighted by age). Of those who screened positively on the MoCA, 32 (46%) participants had a high or very high risk of harm to self or others, and 70 (35%) had no friends with whom they could talk to about private matters or to call on for help (n=35, 50%). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 1020 older adults living in prison have symptoms of likely dementia, and service provision for this group is inadequate.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.066
Threshold uncertainty score0.132

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.045
GPT teacher head0.423
Teacher spread0.378 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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