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Record W4409323924 · doi:10.1029/2024jd042810

Millennial Cycles in Greenland and Antarctic Ice Core Records: Evidence of Astronomical Influence on Global Climate

2025· article· en· W4409323924 on OpenAlexafffund
Vadim A. Kravchinsky, Rui Zhang, Ryan Borowiecki, Avto Goguitchaichvili, Jan Czarnecki, Andrzej Czarnecki, Niklas Boers, André Berger, Mirko van der Baan

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsIce coreClimatologyCryosphereOceanographyIce sheetGeologySea iceGeographyPhysical geography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Multimillennial‐scale climate events are well‐documented in ice‐core records from both Greenland and Antarctica, yet the role of orbital and solar input oscillations in shaping these events remains unresolved. In this study, we analyze two high‐resolution oxygen isotope records from Greenland and Antarctica to assess the influence of orbital cycles on global climate variability. Using two techniques, synchrosqueezing transform (SST) and Bayesian statistical analysis (BSA), we identify prominent climatic periodicities at ∼11, ∼5.5, and ∼2.75 kyr. The duration and amplitude of these oscillations correspond to bi‐hemispherical (BHI) and equatorial insolation (EI) cycles and their harmonic emphasizing their role in shaping climate transitions during glacial and interglacial periods. We suggest that the shorter ∼2.75 kyr cycle may match the Hallstatt cycle, which is currently interpreted as a hypothetical solar cycle but could appear to be an EI harmonic. Further comparison with high‐resolution BHI and EI records from other geographic zones confirms the presence of these cycles across multiple regions. The use of both SST and BSA techniques increases the robustness of our analysis by ensuring that potential signal artifacts are minimized and that weaker ∼5.5 and ∼2.75 kyr cycles are accurately detected. This study provides new insights into the drivers of major climate variability over the past 150,000 years, demonstrating the significant influence of BHI and EI cycles on Earth's climate system in the past and offering new perspectives on how these orbital cycles may continue to impact Earth's climate in the future.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.029
Threshold uncertainty score0.058

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.348
Teacher spread0.309 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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