A Novel Multi-Task Learning-Based Approach to Multi-Energy System Load Forecasting
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Multi-Energy Systems (MES) allow optimal interactions between different energy sources. Accurate load forecasting for such intricate systems would greatly enhance the performance and economic incentive to employ them. This article proposes a state-of-the-art deep learning based architecture to forecast multiple loads. The algorithm utilizes load correlations to select optimal input parameters. These optimal inputs are fed to D-TCNet (Deep – Temporal Convolution Network). This network uses multi-layer perceptrons (MLP) to encode the spatial relationship among exogenous variables which is fed to a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN). The TCN resolves temporal information in the multi-load time series which is used for forecasting these loads for fixed output horizon. The proposed novel method is used on the energy consumption data for multi energy system of University of Austin Tempe Campus. The proposed method shows improved performance across all three energy types as well as all four seasons.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".