I’m a Federal Sovereigntist but a Provincial Nationalist: Party Identification in a Multi-Level Westminster Democracy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
How do citizens handle overlapping partisan identities? In multilevel democracies, voters might hold partisan identities that either match or differ across levels of government. These identities potentially interact with citizens aligning one partisan identity to match their identity at another level. Using evidence from Canada where subnational and national party systems sometimes overlap but frequently differ, we investigate how individuals handle these overlapping identities. We find that overlapping identities apparently strengthen national partisan identification. We further find that provincial party identification has difficult travelling up to explain national vote intent in Canada outside Quebec. In Quebec, however, provincial party identification does, in fact, structure federal vote choice. Voters, then, are capable of seeing through organizational differences and sorting themselves into like-minded parties either through preferences relating to ideology, territorial independence, or both. Our results suggest the importance of accounting for multiple levels of identity when considering political behaviour.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".