Transition Between Substorm Auroral Onset and Expansion Phase Activity
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This study investigates the evolution of substorm onset beads into poleward expansion, surge, and streamer formation during the substorm expansion phase. Using optical observations, we infer the transition from near‐Earth instability to the formation of a near‐Earth neutral line (NENL). We found that a thin, faint arc appeared immediately poleward of the onset arc shortly after substorm onset but prior to significant poleward expansion. Beads within the longitudinal extent of this poleward arc expanded poleward more rapidly than those outside this region. The western edge of the poleward‐expanding beads formed the surge, and streamers emanated from the poleward‐expanding arc. Poleward expansion occurred stepwise, with each step associated with a re‐intensification of the poleward arc. Analysis of an event with simultaneous observations from the Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms (THEMIS) satellite and THEMIS all‐sky imager showed a near‐simultaneous occurrence of stepwise poleward expansion and dipolarization fronts. The lack of a significant time delay suggests that an X‐line initiates in the near‐Earth plasma sheet at approximately 11.8 RE after onset. This stepwise poleward expansion suggests a corresponding stepwise tailward retreat of the X‐line toward NENL locations observed further tailward in earlier studies.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".