The relationship between obesity and obstructive sleep apnea in four community-based cohorts: an individual participant data meta-analysis of 12,860 adults
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Obesity is a well-established risk factor for obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). We assessed the reciprocal prevalence of obesity and OSA and how it varies by age and sex. Methods: Following a systematic review through March 27, 2025, the final sample included four community-based cohort studies in the US and Switzerland. OSA severity was quantified using the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI, all apneas plus hypopneas with ≥4% oxygen desaturation/hour). Random effects individual participant data (IPD) meta-analyses estimated prevalences. Logistic regression compared odds of OSA across weight groups. Findings: were 2.18 [1.73-2.76] and 4.84 [3.09-6.00], respectively. Interpretation: Our analyses show that most adults with OSA do not have obesity, with 44.4% having overweight and 23.5% having normal weight or underweight. Obesity was more prevalent among females compared to males and in younger individuals (<65 years) compared to older individuals with OSA. Recognizing OSA is not exclusive to obesity highlights the need for personalized treatment plans. Funding: American Academy of Sleep Medicine, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, and Apnimed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.018 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".