Cannabis Use and Misuse Following Recreational Cannabis Legalization
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: An increasing number of jurisdictions have legalized recreational cannabis for adults, but most evaluations have used repeated cross-sectional designs, preventing examination of within-person and subgroup trajectories across legalization. Objective: To examine changes in cannabis use and misuse in the 5 years following legalization in Canada both overall and by prelegalization cannabis use frequency using a longitudinal design. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study included data from community-dwelling adults who participated in up to 11 biannual assessments from September 2018 to October 2023 in Ontario, Canada. Data were analyzed from November 2023 to January 2024. Exposure: Five years of recreational cannabis legalization (baseline wave was immediately prior to legalization). Main Outcome and Measures: Primary outcomes were cannabis use frequency and cannabis misuse, assessed using Cannabis Use Disorder Identification Test - Revised (CUDIT-R) score. Prelegalization cannabis use frequency, age, and sex were examined as moderators. Secondary outcomes included changes in cannabis product preferences over time. Results: The final cohort included 1428 community-dwelling adults aged 18 to 65 years (859 [60.2%] female; mean [SD] age, 34.5 [13.9] years). Mean retention was 90% across all waves. Linear mixed-effects modeling found a significant increase in cannabis use frequency, such that the mean proportion of days using cannabis increased by 0.35% (95% CI, 0.19% to 0.51%) per year (P < .001) in the overall sample (1.75% over 5 years). In contrast, CUDIT-R scores (on scale of 0 to 32) decreased significantly overall (β = -0.08 [95% CI, -0.10 to -0.06] per year; -0.4 over 5 years; P < .001), most notably with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Interaction analyses indicated that prelegalization cannabis use frequency significantly moderated changes for both outcomes (P < .001). Specifically, cannabis use and misuse decreased among prelegalization frequent consumers and modestly increased among occasional users and nonusers. Cannabis product preferences shifted away from dried flower, hashish, concentrates, oil, tinctures, and topicals to edibles, liquids, and vape pens. Conclusions and Relevance: In this prospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults in Canada, cannabis use frequency increased modestly in the 5 years following legalization, while cannabis misuse decreased modestly. These changes were substantially moderated by prelegalization cannabis use, with more frequent consumers of cannabis before legalization exhibiting the largest decreases in both outcomes. Although longer-term surveillance is required, these results suggest Canadian recreational cannabis legalization was associated with modest negative and positive consequences among adults.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".