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The Dynamic Interplay between International Crude Imports and Exports and Domestic Production of Indonesia

2025· article· en· W4409737400 on OpenAlexaff
Andry Prima, Parwadi Moengin, Pudji Astutı, A Nugrahanti, Wiwik Dahani, Widia Yanti, OJ Butt

Bibliographic record

VenueIOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsWilfrid Laurier University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProduction (economics)International tradeBusinessEconomicsInternational economicsMacroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract This study investigates the factors influencing oil refinery input in Indonesia between 2013 and 2023, with a focus on crude oil imports, domestic oil production, and exports. Using secondary data from the government, a multiple linear regression analysis was employed to assess the impact of these variables on refinery input. The findings indicate that crude oil imports and domestic production have a significant positive effect on refinery input, while exports exhibit a slight negative relationship. The results highlight the importance of a balanced approach between import policies and domestic production to ensure stable refinery operations. A key finding from the regression analysis shows that for every unit increase in imports, oil refinery input increases by 0.44 units, and for each unit increase in domestic production, input rises by 0.36 units. Conversely, a unit increase in exports reduces refinery input by 0.10 units. Goodness-of-fit statistics, such as an R-squared value of 0.797 and an adjusted R-squared value of 0.709, demonstrate the model’s robustness. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and industry stakeholders aiming to optimize refinery operations and ensure energy security in Indonesia’s evolving energy landscape.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.032
Threshold uncertainty score0.437

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.219
Teacher spread0.211 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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