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Record W4409741586 · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(24)00537-0

Improving primary health-care services in LMIC cities

2025· article· en· W4409741586 on OpenAlexaff
Richard Lilford, Benjamin Daniels, Barbara McPake, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Robert Mash, Frances Griffiths, Akinyinka Omigbodun, Elzo Pereira Pinto, Radhika Jain, Gershim Asiki, Eika Webb, Katie Scandrett, Peter J Chilton, Jo Sartori, Yen‐Fu Chen, Peter Waiswa, Alex Ezeh, Catherine Kyobutungi, GM Leung, Cristiani Vieira Machado, Kabir Sheikh, Sam Watson, Jishnu Das

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Lancet Global Health · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealthcare Systems and Reforms
Canadian institutionsCentre for Global Health Research
FundersMedical Research CouncilNational Institute for Health and Care Research
KeywordsPrimary health carePrimary careHealth servicesMEDLINEMedicineEnvironmental healthPolitical scienceFamily medicinePopulation

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Urban environments are home to more than half of the people living in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), and this proportion will only increase over the coming decades. Much policy discussion of health services in LMICs still relies on knowledge and models derived from rural contexts, for which a single public-sector clinic is often the only option. In contrast, contemporary evidence shows that the urban health service landscapes are made up of dense networks of competing provider clinics that constitute a market. Improvement strategies that work in non-urban contexts are therefore unlikely to be sufficient in these environments. Innovative policy approaches that leverage choice and competition to re-shape markets offer great promise. The first paper1 in this Series of two describes the configuration, cost, and quality of primary-care services in LMIC cities, along with the preferences of service users for different types of service. First, we find extensive evidence that numerous facilities are available to citizens, even in low-income neighbourhoods of LMIC cities. As a result, most people can reach multiple doctor or nurse clinics within 30 min.2 With the exception of some hospital-based polyclinics, most facilities are not busy, with the result that clinical capacity is under-used.3 Second, service costs vary greatly and are substantially tied to commodities such as pharmaceuticals and diagnostics.2 Most people report low out-of-pocket costs, but the variance is wide and asymmetrical such that a minority face catastrophic expenses.4 A few LMICs at higher income levels offer freely available public services or insurance, but this is not the global norm. Third, the average quality of services is generally poor; many clinicians fail to make the correct diagnosis or implement the appropriate treatment,3 long-term conditions are poorly managed,5 antibiotic stewardship is inadequate,6 and medicine stockouts are frequent.7 Fourth, despite the complexity of this environment, patients (including those who are very financially disadvantaged) exhibit considerable agency, seeking out clinics perceived to offer a higher quality care, even if they have to travel further and pay more.8 These facts present a compelling new image of primary health services in LMIC cities. Facilities are omnipresent and easy to reach, but are very diverse in terms of cost, quality, and crowding. The geography of LMIC cities has resulted in what might best be described as a market in which a variety of private and public providers compete, at least implicitly. Most providers are low cost, low quality, and not crowded—but there are important exceptions to these characteristics. The second paper9 discusses the implications of these findings for policy aimed at the improvement of primary health services in these cities. The presence of primary health-care markets provides an opportunity to reshape the market through policies that change the mix of available providers. This opportunity is not available in rural areas for which choice and competition are rare (and public facilities often dominate). In this Series paper we therefore describe not only methods to improve the quality of existing providers, but also methods that take advantage of competition and choice to reshape the market. Thus, while recognising that there are no one-size-fits-all solutions, we discuss approaches in three categories: (1) shaping the market by changing the mix of available providers; (2) improving existing services (including quality and financial accessibility); and (3) facilitating effective demand for better service. One powerful example of shaping the market is investing in public facilities, which can stimulate improvement among facilities and crowd out those that fail to improve.10 Likewise, judicious regulation has been shown in a recent randomised controlled trial to improve quality in the public sector, while having positive knock-on effects for the private sector.11 One of the best ways to invest in improving existing services is through the formation of muti-disciplinary primary care teams integrating facility care (provided by doctors and nurses) with community care (provided by community health workers). Evidence from Brazil, an early adopter of this model, suggests that these teams provide integrated and equitable, preventive, acute, and long-term care.12 Existing services can also be improved by well designed continuing professional development, information technology (including virtual consultations), and various forms of management support. Many initiatives have tried to improve care by stimulating demand. Successful interventions include providing patients with information on available services, involving communities in shaping local services, and providing free access by removing user fees or providing vouchers. There is experimental evidence for most of the previously mentioned initiatives,13 but judging relevance and prioritisation has been difficult because most studies evaluate compound (ie, multi-component) interventions without using a factorial design, there is little evidence beyond immediate effects, and there are few cost-effectiveness or cost-benefit analyses. In addition, there is little evidence regarding people who are homeless or unregistered and for peri-urban areas and towns. Now is a propitious time for primary care. After many years there are signs that it is getting the recognition it deserves at a time when health investments are rising with economic growth and a renewed focus on universal health coverage. But for any increased investment to be efficacious, it needs to account for the context and environment in which it is introduced. Policies in cities offer multiple opportunities—but also multiple challenges as market interactions can lead to unintended consequences. The evidence and analysis offered in our Series is intended to provide a framework for this debate. RJL, FG, JS, and SIW received funding from the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Research and Innovation for Global Health Transformation (NIHR 200132) using UK Aid from the UK Government to support global health research. RJL, JS, and SIW received funding from the NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Improving Health in Slums. RJL, EPP, KSc, and CM received funding from the NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Social and Environmental Determinants of Health Unit. RJL, JS, and SIW received funding from the NIHR Midlands Patient Safety Research Collaboration. RJL and PJC received funding from the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration West Midlands. SIW also received funding from Medical Research Council (grant MR/V038591/1). EPP received support from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to attend symposiums and meetings. CM has a Research Productivity Grant from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development of Brazil and a Distinguished Scientist Grant from Carlos Chagas Research Foundation—State of Rio de Janeiro. All other authors declare no competing interests. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the UK Department of Health and Social Care.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.535
Threshold uncertainty score0.911

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.294
Teacher spread0.272 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations9
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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