Advanced Stock Market Prediction Using Unsupervised Federated Learning Techniques
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In the realm of stock market prediction, traditional supervised learning approaches often struggle with the vast and diverse nature of financial data, coupled with privacy concerns. This paper explores a novel methodology that combines unsupervised learning techniques with federated learning system to enhance stock market prediction models. We present a comprehensive system where local models, trained using unsupervised methods, contribute to a global model through federated aggregation. By leveraging federated learning, our approach allows multiple financial institutions to collaboratively train models on their decentralized data while preserving data privacy. This approach addresses the challenges of data heterogeneity and communication efficiency, providing a robust and scalable solution for advanced stock market forecasting. Our experiments demonstrate that integrating unsupervised learning with federated learning not only improves predictive accuracy but also enhances the model's ability to identify emerging market trends and anomalies. Finally, we compare our distributed data model with other machine learning models that use local data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".