Design of Cybersecurity Threat Prediction Model Based on Support Vector Machines and Data Mining Algorithms
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In order to strengthen the construction of network security defense system and effectively respond to new types of threat attacks appearing in the network environment, this paper constructs a network security threat prediction model using data mining algorithms.The network security threat posture needs to be assessed before the security threat prediction.Accordingly, this paper assesses the four security threat postures of services, vulnerabilities, weaknesses, and hosts on the basis of the quantitative assessment method of hierarchical security threat posture.After that, a network security threat prediction model is constructed based on the support vector mechanism, and a genetic algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the model.The three evaluation index values of MAE, RMSE and MAPE for the GA-SVM-based cybersecurity posture prediction method proposed in this paper are 0.0106, 0.0133 and 0.0222, respectively, which are better than those of the ABC-SVM-based and PSO-SVM-based prediction methods.It indicates that the method in this paper has smaller error and higher accuracy in cyber security posture prediction.This shows that the method in this paper usually achieves better accuracy in cyber security threat posture prediction.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".