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Record W4409903401 · doi:10.1080/19401493.2025.2496659

Development and implementation of a data-driven model predictive controller for hydronic floors: an experimental case study

2025· article· en· W4409903401 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Building Performance Simulation · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicBuilding Energy and Comfort Optimization
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsModel predictive controlController (irrigation)EngineeringEnvironmental scienceComputer scienceControl theory (sociology)Control (management)Artificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Despite the growing popularity of model predictive controllers (MPCs) in building automation, there are few investigations of MPC in residential buildings. However, existing studies show promise for MPCs in buildings with high glazing, and radiant conditioning. This paper presents the development and results of a long-term MPC implementation at a full-scale research house during the heating season. The MPC manages the operation of hydronic floors to maintain thermal comfort while minimizing energy use. This work includes a novel MPC approach, forecasting approach, and parameter estimation technique. An existing data-driven model and sequential parameter estimation approach were modified and used in this work. Disturbance forecasting (including solar gains, equipment, and heat transfer to the ground, and water storage tanks) employs a clustering algorithm, then rule extraction with a decision tree. Compared to a rule-based controller (RBC), the MPC reduced energy use by 10%, and decreased the magnitude and duration of overheating.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.277
Threshold uncertainty score0.351

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.031
GPT teacher head0.339
Teacher spread0.308 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it