Searching for supermassive black hole binaries within SRG/eROSITA-De
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Context. Supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs) with separations on (sub)pc scales represent one of the latest stages of hierarchical galaxy assembly. However, many of these objects are hidden behind large columns of gas and dust at the centers of galaxies and are difficult to detect. In these systems, accretion is expected to take the form of two individual accretion disks around the individual black holes, fed by a larger circumbinary disk. The X-ray and UV emission in these systems are predicted to vary regularly on timescales that are comparable to that of the orbital period of the binary. Aims. This is the first of a series of papers where we continue to search for and characterize SMBHB candidates based on quasiperiodic light curves from the soft X-ray instrument eROSITA on board the Spectrum-Roentgen-Gamma (SRG) observatory and extensive X-ray follow-up. Methods. We searched the multi-epoch SRG/eROSITA all-sky surveys for extragalactic sources that show an “up-down-up-down” or “down-up-down-up” profile (from scan to scan) in their 0.2–2.3 keV flux light curves. We selected sources where the “up” and “down” flux levels vary by at least 3σ. The “down” states were also allowed to correspond to nondetections. We excluded stellar objects, blazars, and radio-loud active galactic nuclei (AGNs) via Gaia DR3 parallaxes and proper motions. We also carried out a visual inspection of the images drawn from the Legacy Survey DR10 and the SIMBAD database. Results. We compiled a sample of 16 sources that are suitable for X-ray follow-up campaigns given their brightness and significant variability between bright and faint SRG/eROSITA flux levels. We triggered extensive Swift-XRT and NICER monitoring campaigns on the best SMBHB candidates to confirm or discard their tentative periodicities. Optical spectroscopic observations confirmed the nuclear and extragalactic nature of 15/16 objects and enabled single-epoch SMBH mass measurements and BPT classifications of the dominant ionization in the host galaxy. Our most promising candidate, eRASSt J0530-4125, exhibits X-ray quasi-periodic variability with a typical time scale of one year in the observed frame. By stacking the X-ray observations of each source in our sample, we found that 14 out of the 15 sources can be modeled by a power law with a photon index ranging from Γ∼1.8−2.8. Based on our selection, we estimate an optimistic upper limit on the fraction of SMBHB candidates to be ∼0.05 per galaxy. We emphasize that further observational evidence is needed to confirm the SMBHB nature of our sources.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".